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Demographic change and its impact on farmers' field production decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Ji, Yueqing
  • Hu, Xuezhi
  • Zhu, Jing
  • Zhong, Funing

Abstract

Following the general trend in demographic change, and enhanced by the large-scale and continuous rural-urban migration, the rural labor force remaining in farming is quickly reducing and aging. This is likely to have significant impact on the labor-intensive agriculture. However, the fast growing of machinery service has provided farmers an opportunity to out-source field work that demands heavy labor inputs. Therefore, the demographic change and development of machinery service may jointly influence farmers' production decision in terms of crop choice and inputs. Household data of Fixed Point Rural Survey (FPRS) are used to examine the potential change in farmers' decisions on crop mix and input uses. It is found out that, under current situations, aging may impact agriculture through changing crop mix, and the choice is largely determined by access to service of farm machine; which, in turn, is likely to be determined by topography.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji, Yueqing & Hu, Xuezhi & Zhu, Jing & Zhong, Funing, 2017. "Demographic change and its impact on farmers' field production decisions," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 64-71.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:43:y:2017:i:c:p:64-71
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2017.01.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jin Yang & Hui Wang & Songqing Jin & Kevin Chen & Jeffrey Riedinger & Chao Peng, 2016. "Migration, local off-farm employment, and agricultural production efficiency: evidence from China," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 247-259, June.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Wen, Qi & Li, Jin & Ding, Jinmei & Wang, Jue, 2023. "Evolutionary process and mechanism of population hollowing out in rural villages in the farming-pastoral ecotone of Northern China: A case study of Yanchi County, Ningxia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    4. Tingting Li & Hongwei Lu & Qiyou Luo & Guojing Li & Mingjie Gao, 2024. "The Impact of Rural Population Aging on Agricultural Cropping Structure: Evidence from China’s Provinces," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-19, April.
    5. Ning (Chris) Chen & C. Michael Hall & Kangkang Yu & Cheng Qian, 2019. "Environmental Satisfaction, Residential Satisfaction, and Place Attachment: The Cases of Long-Term Residents in Rural and Urban Areas in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-20, November.
    6. Yuanjie Zhang & Shichao Yuan & Jian Wang & Jian Cheng & Daolin Zhu, 2022. "How Do the Different Types of Land Costs Affect Agricultural Crop-Planting Selections in China?," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, October.
    7. Zhongqi Deng & Qianyu Zhao & Helen X. H. Bao, 2020. "The Impact of Urbanization on Farmland Productivity: Implications for China’s Requisition–Compensation Balance of Farmland Policy," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-24, September.
    8. Siyu Yang & Wei Li, 2022. "The Impact of Socialized Agricultural Machinery Services on Land Productivity: Evidence from China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-18, December.
    9. Jiangsheng Chen & Gideon Bolt & Yiwen Wang & Xiaoli Feng & Xuke Li, 2021. "An Empirical Diagnosis of the School-to-Work Process for Rural and Agricultural Development in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Roengchai Tansuchat & Sittichok Plaiphum, 2023. "Assessing Food and Livelihood Security in Sea Salt Community: A GIAHS Study in Ban Laem, Phetchaburi, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-29, October.
    11. Zhoufu Yan & Shurui Zhang & Fangwei Wu & Binlei Gong, 2023. "Increasing Wages, Factor Substitution, and Cropping Pattern Changes in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 31(5), pages 190-214, September.
    12. Qian, Long & Lu, Hua & Gao, Qiang & Lu, Hualiang, 2022. "Household-owned farm machinery vs. outsourced machinery services: The impact of agricultural mechanization on the land leasing behavior of relatively large-scale farmers in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    13. Zhao, Qianyu & Bao, Helen X.H. & Zhang, Zhanlu, 2021. "Off-farm employment and agricultural land use efficiency in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

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