IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/asieco/v95y2024ics1049007824001416.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The information externality of public firms’ employment in the municipal corporate bond market in China

Author

Listed:
  • Han, Hongling
  • Mao, Yidan
  • Liu, Qiang

Abstract

This study focuses on the informativeness of the labour force in the municipal corporate bond (MCB) market in China. We aggregate the annual employment of public firms to the prefecture-city level and find that aggregate employment is positively associated with the scale of the MCB, while it is negatively associated with the issuing rate of the MCB. Further, we find that such information externality is conditional on the attributes of the employment characteristics, including the education, functional departments, and ownership nature. Mechanism analyses indicate that information accessibility, processing, dissemination, and efficacy are important channels through which aggregate employment exerts informativeness. The information externality is reinforced after an administration enhances the authenticity of employment information. This paper echoes previous studies of the macro value of aggregate firm-level information and enriches the literature in labour and finance by revealing that the labour dividend still exists and triggers the MCB issuance in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Han, Hongling & Mao, Yidan & Liu, Qiang, 2024. "The information externality of public firms’ employment in the municipal corporate bond market in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:95:y:2024:i:c:s1049007824001416
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101846
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049007824001416
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101846?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chong-En Bai & Chang-Tai Hsieh & Zheng (Michael) Song, 2016. "The Long Shadow of China’s Fiscal Expansion," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 129-181.
    2. Chen, Zhuo & He, Zhiguo & Liu, Chun, 2020. "The financing of local government in China: Stimulus loan wanes and shadow banking waxes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 42-71.
    3. Gallo, Lindsey A. & Hann, Rebecca N. & Li, Congcong, 2016. "Aggregate earnings surprises, monetary policy, and stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 103-120.
    4. Layna Mosley & Victoria Paniagua & Erik Wibbels, 2020. "Moving markets? Government bond investors and microeconomic policy changes," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 197-249, July.
    5. Alan B. Krueger & Kenneth N. Fortson, 2003. "Do Markets Respond More to More Reliable Labor Market Data? A Test of Market Rationality," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(4), pages 931-957, June.
    6. Shiyi Chen & Li Wang, 2015. "Will Political Connections Be Accounted for in the Interest Rates of Chinese Urban Development Investment Bonds?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 108-129, January.
    7. Jie Shen & Xiang Luo & Fulong Wu, 2020. "Assembling mega-urban projects through state-guided governance innovation: the development of Lingang in Shanghai," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(12), pages 1644-1654, December.
    8. Fabio B. Gaertner & Asad Kausar & Logan B. Steele, 2020. "Negative accounting earnings and gross domestic product," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 1382-1409, December.
    9. Wu, Fulong, 2022. "Land financialisation and the financing of urban development in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    10. Zhang, Fangzhu & Wu, Fulong, 2022. "Financialised urban development: Chinese and (South-)East Asian observations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. Chong-En Bai & Chang-Tai Hsieh & Zheng Michael Song, 2016. "The Long Shadow of a Fiscal Expansion," NBER Working Papers 22801, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Yunyang Ji & Xiaoxin Guo & Shihu Zhong & Lina Wu, 2020. "Land Financialization, Uncoordinated Development of Population Urbanization and Land Urbanization, and Economic Growth: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-22, November.
    13. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2014. "Accounting earnings and gross domestic product," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 76-88.
    14. Ryan T. Ball & Lindsey Gallo & Eric Ghysels, 2019. "Tilting the evidence: the role of firm-level earnings attributes in the relation between aggregated earnings and gross domestic product," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 570-592, June.
    15. Alice Y. Ouyang & Rui Li, 2021. "Fiscal decentralization and the default risk of Chinese local government debts," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(3), pages 641-667, July.
    16. Juanfeng Zhang & Lele Li & Danxia Zhang & Jie Gu, 2021. "Seven super urban agglomerations, governments’ debt risk, and land leasing, China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 2662-2679, December.
    17. Jianlong Wang & Yong Liu & Weilong Wang & Haitao Wu, 2023. "Effects of Chinese-style fiscal decentralization on carbon emissions: is there a role for urban construction investment bonds?," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 2158115-215, December.
    18. Lan Bo & Fred C. J. Mear & Jingchi Huang, 2017. "New development: China’s debt transparency and the case of urban construction investment bonds," Public Money & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 225-230, April.
    19. Lyu, Changjiang & Wang, Kemin & Zhang, Frank & Zhang, Xin, 2018. "GDP management to meet or beat growth targets," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 318-338.
    20. Samuel B. Bonsall & Zahn Bozanic & Paul E.. Fischer, 2013. "What Do Management Earnings Forecasts Convey About the Macroeconomy?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(2), pages 225-266, May.
    21. Han, Libin & Lu, Ming & Xiang, Kuanhu & Zhong, Huiyong, 2021. "Density, distance and debt: New-town construction and local-government financial risks in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    22. repec:pri:cepsud:88krueger is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Jerry Zhirong Zhao & Guocan Su & Dan Li, 2019. "Financing China’s unprecedented infrastructure boom: the evolution of capital structure from 1978 to 2015," Public Money & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(8), pages 581-589, November.
    24. Yi Feng & Fulong Wu & Fangzhu Zhang, 2022. "Changing roles of the state in the financialization of urban development through chengtou in China," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(8), pages 1259-1270, August.
    25. Chong-En Bai & Chang-Tai Hsieh & Zheng (Michael) Song, 2016. "The Long Shadow of China’s Fiscal Expansion," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 129-181.
    26. Juan Chen & Hongling Guo & Zuoping Xiao, 2023. "High-speed railway and urban construction investment bond yield spreads: a quasi-natural experiment," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 22(2), pages 227-248, March.
    27. Chen, Yong & Eaton, Gregory W. & Paye, Bradley S., 2018. "Micro(structure) before macro? The predictive power of aggregate illiquidity for stock returns and economic activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 48-73.
    28. Konchitchki, Yaniv & O'Leary, Daniel E., 2011. "Event study methodologies in information systems research," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 99-115.
    29. Alan B. Krueger & Kenneth N. Fortson, 2003. "Do Markets Respond More to More Reliable Labor Market Data? A Test of Market Rationality," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(4), pages 931-957, June.
    30. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
    31. Shevlin, Terry & Shivakumar, Lakshmanan & Urcan, Oktay, 2019. "Macroeconomic effects of corporate tax policy," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1).
    32. Shivakumar, Lakshmanan, 2007. "Aggregate earnings, stock market returns and macroeconomic activity: A discussion of `does earnings guidance affect market returns? The nature and information content of aggregate earnings guidance'," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 64-73, September.
    33. Ye, Zhen & Zhang, Fangzhu & Coffman, D’Maris & Xia, Senmao & Wang, Zhifeng & Zhu, Zhonghua, 2022. "China’s urban construction investment bond: Contextualising a financial tool for local government," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    34. William M. Cready & Umit G. Gurun, 2010. "Aggregate Market Reaction to Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(2), pages 289-334, May.
    35. Lennox, Clive & Wu, Joanna Shuang, 2022. "A review of China-related accounting research in the past 25 years," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2).
    36. Feng, Yi & Wu, Fulong & Zhang, Fangzhu, 2022. "The development of local government financial vehicles in China: A case study of Jiaxing Chengtou," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    37. Armstrong, Christopher S. & Glaeser, Stephen & Kepler, John D., 2019. "Accounting quality and the transmission of monetary policy," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bao, Helen X.H. & Wang, Ziyou & Wu, Robert Liangqi, 2024. "Understanding local government debt financing of infrastructure projects in China: Evidence based on accounting data from local government financing vehicles," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    2. Liu, Shulin & Wang, Xianbin & Huang, Liangxiong, 2025. "Economic growth target fluctuation and bond issuance by LGFVs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    3. Cheng, Yudan & Jia, Shanghui & Meng, Huan, 2022. "Fiscal policy choices of local governments in China: Land finance or local government debt?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 294-308.
    4. Zixing Wang & Meirong Zhang, 2023. "The Distributional Effects Associated with Land Finance in China: A Perspective Based on the Urban–Rural Income Gap," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, September.
    5. Walker, Thomas & Zhang, Xueying & Zhang, Aoran & Wang, Yulin, 2021. "Fact or fiction: Implicit government guarantees in China’s corporate bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    6. Yi Feng & Fulong Wu & Fangzhu Zhang, 2024. "Building state centrality through state selective financialization: Reconfiguring the land reserve system in China," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 56(3), pages 766-783, May.
    7. Cong Yu & Linke Hou & Yuxia Lyu & Qi Zhang, 2022. "Political competition, spatial interactions, and default risk of local government debts in China," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(3), pages 717-743, June.
    8. Zhang, Shidai & Tsai, Kellee S., 2024. "‘One System, Two Shadows’: A local public finance perspective on China's shadow banking system," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    9. Wiesen, Taylor, 2023. "Aggregate earnings and market expectations in United States presidential election prediction markets," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Qian, Ningyu, 2018. "Anti-corruption effects on the credit risk of local financing vehicles and the pricing of Chengtou bonds: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 162-168.
    11. Wang, He & Yao, Yang & Zhou, Yue, 2022. "Markets price politicians: Evidence from China’s municipal bond markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    12. Chen, Zhuo & He, Zhiguo & Liu, Chun, 2020. "The financing of local government in China: Stimulus loan wanes and shadow banking waxes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 42-71.
    13. Chang Liu & Wei Xiong, 2018. "China's Real Estate Market," NBER Working Papers 25297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Yu, Li & Lyu, Zhuoyang & Duan, Hao, 2024. "Plugging the gap: Debt pressure and the rise of forfeiture revenues in local governments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    15. Yunyang Ji & Xiaoxin Guo & Shihu Zhong & Lina Wu, 2020. "Land Financialization, Uncoordinated Development of Population Urbanization and Land Urbanization, and Economic Growth: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-22, November.
    16. Han Gao & Minming Lan & Jie Li & Tianhang Zhou, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and local government debt: Evidence from China," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 77(4), pages 1103-1141, November.
    17. Liu, Yan & Wu, Guowei & Xiong, Chen, 2024. "Countercyclical central government transfers incentivize local government overborrowing: Theory and evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    18. Wang, Jiaxin & Huang, Xiang & Gu, Qiankun & Song, Zilong & Sun, Ruiyi, 2023. "How does fintech affect bank risk? A perspective based on financialized transfer of government implicit debt risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    19. Liang, Quanxi & Huang, Jinlan & Liang, Mingjun & Li, Jingxiang, 2024. "Economic growth targets and bank risk exposure: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    20. Zhang, Min & Zhang, Yahong, 2022. "Monetary stimulus policy in China: The bank credit channel," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regional labour intensity; municipal corporate bond; aggregate information; emerging market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M54 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Labor Management
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:95:y:2024:i:c:s1049007824001416. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/asieco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.