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China-Japan-United States integration amid global rebalancing: A computable general equilibrium analysis

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  • Kawai, Masahiro
  • Zhai, Fan

Abstract

Using a global general equilibrium trade model, this paper assesses the long-term implications of global rebalancing for Asian economies and explores the benefits of China-Japan-United States (US) integration. The analysis suggests that consumption evaporation, a growth slowdown in the US, and the consequent current account correction would force China, Japan, and other East Asian economies to undergo substantial structural adjustments. A combination of domestic reform aimed at boosting service sector productivity and external liberalization aimed at fostering broader economic integration will be critical for East Asian economies to facilitate their economic rebalancing and sustained growth. Our global computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis suggests that China and Japan need to strengthen their economic ties with the US while at the same time bringing other East Asian economies into this integration process.

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  • Kawai, Masahiro & Zhai, Fan, 2009. "China-Japan-United States integration amid global rebalancing: A computable general equilibrium analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(6), pages 688-699, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:20:y:2009:i:6:p:688-699
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    Cited by:

    1. Prabir De & Chiranjib Neogi, 2011. "Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia," ADBI Working Papers 294, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2012. "Asia’s Post-global Financial Crisis Adjustment: A Model-based Dynamic Analysis," Chapters, in: Masahiro Kawai & Peter J. Morgan & Shinji Takagi (ed.), Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Masahiro Kawai & Fan Zhai, 2010. "Asia’s Post-Global Financial Crisis Adjustment : A Model-Based Dynamic Scenario Analysis," Finance Working Papers 23055, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    4. Prabir De & Chiranjib Neogi, 2010. "Global Financial Crisis : Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in India," Trade Working Papers 23067, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    5. Apurva Sanghi & Andrew Burns & Calvin Djiofack & Dinar Prihardini & Jagath Dissanayake & Claire Hollweg, 2017. "A Rebalancing China and Resurging India," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28422, April.

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