IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v182y2016icp145-153.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sensitivity analysis in the technical potential assessment of onshore wind and ground solar photovoltaic power resources at regional scale

Author

Listed:
  • Bossavy, Arthur
  • Girard, Robin
  • Kariniotakis, Georges

Abstract

Potential assessment has served various objectives in the development of renewable energies. However, the prospective nature of this type of assessment sometimes makes it difficult to evaluate and compare estimation results based on different data and modeling. To facilitate this comparison, uncertainty estimates need to be systematically provided. Since potential assessment sometimes relies on numerous parameters, this may first require determining the most important inputs to focus on. In this paper, we propose a sensitivity analysis methodology based on Sobol indices so as to identify the main inputs from a nonlinear assessment model. We illustrate the proposed methodology through analyzing sensitivity in an onshore wind and ground solar photovoltaic (PV) potential assessment covering two French regions. As a result, we show that, when estimating the potential of these renewable energy sources, parameters defining surface availability are more prevalent than those related to technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Bossavy, Arthur & Girard, Robin & Kariniotakis, Georges, 2016. "Sensitivity analysis in the technical potential assessment of onshore wind and ground solar photovoltaic power resources at regional scale," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 145-153.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:182:y:2016:i:c:p:145-153
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.075
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261916311618
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.075?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jung, Sungmoon & Arda Vanli, O. & Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2013. "Wind energy potential assessment considering the uncertainties due to limited data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 1492-1503.
    2. Grassi, Stefano & Chokani, Ndaona & Abhari, Reza S., 2012. "Large scale technical and economical assessment of wind energy potential with a GIS tool: Case study Iowa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 73-85.
    3. Hoogwijk, Monique & de Vries, Bert & Turkenburg, Wim, 2004. "Assessment of the global and regional geographical, technical and economic potential of onshore wind energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 889-919, September.
    4. Hong, Taehoon & Koo, Choongwan & Park, Joonho & Park, Hyo Seon, 2014. "A GIS (geographic information system)-based optimization model for estimating the electricity generation of the rooftop PV (photovoltaic) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 190-199.
    5. Girard, R. & Laquaine, K. & Kariniotakis, G., 2013. "Assessment of wind power predictability as a decision factor in the investment phase of wind farms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 609-617.
    6. Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2010. "Uncertainty analysis of wind energy potential assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 856-865, March.
    7. Global Energy Assessment Writing Team,, 2012. "Global Energy Assessment," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107005198, September.
    8. Costa, Alexandre & Crespo, Antonio & Navarro, Jorge & Lizcano, Gil & Madsen, Henrik & Feitosa, Everaldo, 2008. "A review on the young history of the wind power short-term prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(6), pages 1725-1744, August.
    9. Mercure, Jean-François & Salas, Pablo, 2012. "An assessement of global energy resource economic potentials," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 322-336.
    10. Boccard, Nicolas, 2009. "Capacity factor of wind power realized values vs. estimates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2679-2688, July.
    11. Global Energy Assessment Writing Team,, 2012. "Global Energy Assessment," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521182935, September.
    12. Lukač, Niko & Žlaus, Danijel & Seme, Sebastijan & Žalik, Borut & Štumberger, Gorazd, 2013. "Rating of roofs’ surfaces regarding their solar potential and suitability for PV systems, based on LiDAR data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 803-812.
    13. de Vries, Bert J.M. & van Vuuren, Detlef P. & Hoogwijk, Monique M., 2007. "Renewable energy sources: Their global potential for the first-half of the 21st century at a global level: An integrated approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2590-2610, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Russell McKenna & Stefan Pfenninger & Heidi Heinrichs & Johannes Schmidt & Iain Staffell & Katharina Gruber & Andrea N. Hahmann & Malte Jansen & Michael Klingler & Natascha Landwehr & Xiaoli Guo Lars', 2021. "Reviewing methods and assumptions for high-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy potential assessments," Papers 2103.09781, arXiv.org.
    2. McKenna, Russell & Pfenninger, Stefan & Heinrichs, Heidi & Schmidt, Johannes & Staffell, Iain & Bauer, Christian & Gruber, Katharina & Hahmann, Andrea N. & Jansen, Malte & Klingler, Michael & Landwehr, 2022. "High-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy assessments: A review of potential definitions, methodologies and future research needs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 659-684.
    3. Heggarty, Thomas & Bourmaud, Jean-Yves & Girard, Robin & Kariniotakis, Georges, 2019. "Multi-temporal assessment of power system flexibility requirement," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1327-1336.
    4. Makhloufi, Saida & Khennas, Smail & Bouchaib, Sami & Arab, Amar Hadj, 2022. "Multi-objective cuckoo search algorithm for optimized pathways for 75 % renewable electricity mix by 2050 in Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1410-1424.
    5. Jung, Christopher & Schindler, Dirk, 2022. "On the influence of wind speed model resolution on the global technical wind energy potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    6. Zhang, Hengxu & Cao, Yongji & Zhang, Yi & Terzija, Vladimir, 2018. "Quantitative synergy assessment of regional wind-solar energy resources based on MERRA reanalysis data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 172-182.
    7. Krishna Muniyoor, 2020. "Cost-benefit analysis of adopting the solar photovoltaic water pumping system: A case of Rajasthan," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2020(2), pages 35-49.
    8. Carta, José A. & Díaz, Santiago & Castañeda, Alberto, 2020. "A global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output estimation models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    9. Ikäheimo, Jussi & Lindroos, Tomi J. & Kiviluoma, Juha, 2023. "Impact of climate and geological storage potential on feasibility of hydrogen fuels," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 342(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mercure, Jean-François & Salas, Pablo, 2013. "On the global economic potentials and marginal costs of non-renewable resources and the price of energy commodities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 469-483.
    2. Silva Herran, Diego & Dai, Hancheng & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Masui, Toshihiko, 2016. "Global assessment of onshore wind power resources considering the distance to urban areas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 75-86.
    3. Mercure, J.-F. & Pollitt, H. & Chewpreecha, U. & Salas, P. & Foley, A.M. & Holden, P.B. & Edwards, N.R., 2014. "The dynamics of technology diffusion and the impacts of climate policy instruments in the decarbonisation of the global electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 686-700.
    4. Dai, Hancheng & Silva Herran, Diego & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Masui, Toshihiko, 2016. "Key factors affecting long-term penetration of global onshore wind energy integrating top-down and bottom-up approaches," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 19-30.
    5. Mercure, Jean-François, 2012. "FTT:Power : A global model of the power sector with induced technological change and natural resource depletion," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 799-811.
    6. Gladkykh, Ganna & Spittler, Nathalie & Davíðsdóttir, Brynhildur & Diemer, Arnaud, 2018. "Steady state of energy: Feedbacks and leverages for promoting or preventing sustainable energy system development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 121-131.
    7. Kamjoo, Azadeh & Maheri, Alireza & Putrus, Ghanim A., 2014. "Chance constrained programming using non-Gaussian joint distribution function in design of standalone hybrid renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 677-688.
    8. Li, Xue & Lin, Cong & Wang, Yang & Zhao, Lingying & Duan, Na & Wu, Xudong, 2015. "Analysis of rural household energy consumption and renewable energy systems in Zhangziying town of Beijing," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 318(C), pages 184-193.
    9. Mercure, J.-F. & Paim, M.A. & Bocquillon, P. & Lindner, S. & Salas, P. & Martinelli, P. & Berchin, I.I. & de Andrade Guerra, J.B.S.O & Derani, C. & de Albuquerque Junior, C.L. & Ribeiro, J.M.P. & Knob, 2019. "System complexity and policy integration challenges: The Brazilian Energy- Water-Food Nexus," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 230-243.
    10. Arias-Gaviria, Jessica & Osorio, Andres F. & Arango-Aramburo, Santiago, 2020. "Estimating the practical potential for deep ocean water extraction in the Caribbean," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 307-319.
    11. Madeti, Siva Ramakrishna & Singh, S.N., 2017. "Online fault detection and the economic analysis of grid-connected photovoltaic systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 121-135.
    12. Bosch, Jonathan & Staffell, Iain & Hawkes, Adam D., 2018. "Temporally explicit and spatially resolved global offshore wind energy potentials," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 766-781.
    13. Hart, Rob, 2016. "Non-renewable resources in the long run," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-20.
    14. Victor Court & Pierre-André Jouvet & Frédéric Lantz, 2018. "Long-term endogenous economic growth and energy transitions," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    15. Eurek, Kelly & Sullivan, Patrick & Gleason, Michael & Hettinger, Dylan & Heimiller, Donna & Lopez, Anthony, 2017. "An improved global wind resource estimate for integrated assessment models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 552-567.
    16. Sijm, Jos & Lehmann, Paul & Chewpreecha, Unnada & Gawel, Erik & Mercure, Jean-Francois & Pollitt, Hector & Strunz, Sebastian, 2014. "EU climate and energy policy beyond 2020: Are additional targets and instruments for renewables economically reasonable?," UFZ Discussion Papers 3/2014, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Division of Social Sciences (ÖKUS).
    17. Singh, G.K., 2013. "Solar power generation by PV (photovoltaic) technology: A review," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-13.
    18. Mentis, Dimitrios & Siyal, Shahid Hussain & Korkovelos, Alexandros & Howells, Mark, 2016. "A geospatial assessment of the techno-economic wind power potential in India using geographical restrictions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 77-88.
    19. Gopinath Subramani & Vigna K. Ramachandaramurthy & Sanjeevikumar Padmanaban & Lucian Mihet-Popa & Frede Blaabjerg & Josep M. Guerrero, 2017. "Grid-Tied Photovoltaic and Battery Storage Systems with Malaysian Electricity Tariff—A Review on Maximum Demand Shaving," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    20. Lancker, Kira & Quaas, Martin F., 2019. "Increasing marginal costs and the efficiency of differentiated feed-in tariffs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 104-118.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:182:y:2016:i:c:p:145-153. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.