IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eeb/articl/v2y2016n2p139-164.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sustainability Cycles in China, India, and the World?

Author

Listed:
  • Jarmo Vehmas

    (University of Turku)

  • Jari Kaivo-oja

    (University of Turku)

  • Jarmo Vehmas

    (University of Turku)

Abstract

This paper studies the key variables of the so-called ImPACT identity, which includes four drivers of environmental impact (Im): population (P), affluence (A), intensity of consumption (C), and technology (T). In the empirical analysis, carbon dioxide emissions from fuel combustion (CO2) represents the environmental impact, and the influencing factors are represented by the amount of population (POP), gross domestic product per capita (GDP/POP), energy intensity of the national economy (TPES/GDP), and carbon intensity of energy supply (CO2/TPES), respectively. The authors present annual changes in the ImPACT variables and their comparative analysis in the World, China, and India during the time period 1971-2009. They also identify the cyclical nature of annual changes in the ImPACT variables, similar to the Goodwin growth cycle model. In the formation of green growth strategies this kind of empirical finding must be taken seriously into consideration

Suggested Citation

  • Jarmo Vehmas & Jari Kaivo-oja & Jarmo Vehmas, 2016. "Sustainability Cycles in China, India, and the World?," Eastern European Business and Economics Journal, Eastern European Business and Economics Studies Centre, vol. 2(2), pages 139-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:eeb:articl:v:2:y:2016:n:2:p:139-164
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://eebej.eu/Vehmas-J-Kaivo-oja-J-Luukkanen-J-2016-Sustainability-Cycles-in-China-India-and-the-World-Eastern-European-Business-and-Economics-Journal-22-139-164/
    Download Restriction: for print copy of the journal 50 Euro, preview on web - free
    File URL: http://eebej.eu/2016v2n2/139-164.pdf
    Download Restriction: for print copy of the journal 50 Euro, preview on web - free
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Epstein, Larry G, 1980. "Decision Making and the Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(2), pages 269-283, June.
    2. Dinda, Soumyananda, 2004. "Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: A Survey," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 431-455, August.
    3. Kenneth J. Arrow & Anthony C. Fisher, 1974. "Environmental Preservation, Uncertainty, and Irreversibility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 88(2), pages 312-319.
    4. Ang, B.W. & Zhang, F.Q., 2000. "A survey of index decomposition analysis in energy and environmental studies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 25(12), pages 1149-1176.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Panula-Ontto, Juha & Luukkanen, Jyrki & Kaivo-oja, Jari & O'Mahony, Tadhg & Vehmas, Jarmo & Valkealahti, Seppo & Björkqvist, Tomas & Korpela, Timo & Järventausta, Pertti & Majanne, Yrjö & Kojo, Matti , 2018. "Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 504-513.
    2. Jari Kaivo-oja, 2019. "A Long-Run Reflections on Sustainable Development Policies and Solutions," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 18(3), pages 84-87, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael Finus & Pedro Pintassilgo & Alistair Ulph, 2014. "International Environmental Agreements with Uncertainty, Learning and Risk Aversion," Department of Economics Working Papers 19/14, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
    2. Attanasi, Giuseppe Marco & Montesano, Aldo, 2010. "Testing Value vs Waiting Value in Environmental Decisions under Uncertainty," TSE Working Papers 10-154, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Guillouet, Louise & Martimort, David, 2023. "Acting in the Darkness: Towards some Foundations for the Precautionary Principle," TSE Working Papers 23-1411, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jul 2024.
    4. Millner, Antony & Ollivier, Hélène & Simon, Leo, 2014. "Policy experimentation, political competition, and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 84-96.
    5. Meglena Jeleva & Stéphane Rossignol, 2019. "Optimists, Pessimists, and the Precautionary Principle," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 367-396, September.
    6. Norgaard, Richard, 1983. "Equilibria, Environmental Externalities, and Property Rights: A Coevolutionary View," CUDARE Working Papers 198266, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    7. Ingham, Alan & Ma, Jie & Ulph, Alistair, 2007. "Climate change, mitigation and adaptation with uncertainty and learning," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 5354-5369, November.
    8. Giovanni Immordino, 2001. "Choosing between traditional and innovative technologies: the case of scientific uncertainty," CSEF Working Papers 74, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    9. Geoffrey Heal & Bengt Kriström, 2002. "Uncertainty and Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 22(1), pages 3-39, June.
    10. Narain, Urvashi & Hanemann, Michael & Fisher, Anthony C., 2002. "Uncertainty, Learning, and the Irreversibility Effect," CUDARE Working Papers 198691, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    11. Caroline Orset, 2014. "Innovation and the precautionary principle," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(8), pages 780-801, November.
    12. van Wijnbergen, Sweder & Willems, Tim, 2015. "Optimal learning on climate change: Why climate skeptics should reduce emissions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 17-33.
    13. Yousaf Raza, Muhammad & Lin, Boqiang, 2023. "Development trend of Pakistan's natural gas consumption: A sectorial decomposition analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    14. May Elsayyad & Florian Morath, 2016. "Technology Transfers For Climate Change," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1057-1084, August.
    15. Andersson, Fredrik N.G. & Karpestam, Peter, 2013. "CO2 emissions and economic activity: Short- and long-run economic determinants of scale, energy intensity and carbon intensity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1285-1294.
    16. Chavas, Jean-Paul, 1987. "On Risk Modeling And Its Implications For Economic Analysis," Regional Research Projects > 1987: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 22-25, 1987, San Antonio, Texas 272333, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    17. Morath, Florian, 2010. "Strategic information acquisition and the mitigation of global warming," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 206-217, March.
    18. Alexandra Rauchs & Marc Willinger, 1996. "Expérimentations sur les choix séquentiels : application à " l'effet irréversibilité"," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 47(1), pages 51-71.
    19. Calcagnini, Giorgio & Giombini, Germana & Travaglini, Giuseppe, 2016. "Modelling energy intensity, pollution per capita and productivity in Italy: A structural VAR approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1482-1492.
    20. Borghesi, Simone & Vercelli, Alessandro, 2010. "Greenhouse gas emissions and the energy system: decomposition analysis and the environmental Kuznets curve," MPRA Paper 27438, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eeb:articl:v:2:y:2016:n:2:p:139-164. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Valerijs The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Valerijs to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://eebej.eu .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.