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El shock de precios de los productos básicos en Bolivia

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  • Loza Tellería, Gabriel

Abstract

El shock adverso en los precios de los productos básicos ha recibido escasa atención,si se compara con la que se ha prestado a la crisis financiera reciente. A diferencia de lo señalado por la literatura empírica,la caída reciente de las cotizaciones internacionales muestra que la mayoría de los precios tienden a moverse juntos en las fases expansivas y contractivas del ciclo económico.Los shocks (perturbaciones); permanentes ayudan a explicar la varianza de los precios de exportación de Bolivia.Además,la incorporación a la cartera exportadora de un nuevo sector,como el de la soja,no ha disminuido el riesgo total.Se concluye que en Bolivia la política de diversificación de las exportaciones de productos básicos no ha permitido al país minimizar el riesgo,atenuar los ciclos,disminuir la volatilidad de los precios ni aumentar los ingresos reales de exportación.Se sugiere desarrollar las exportaciones de manufacturas a fin de disminuir la vulnerabilidad ante perturbaciones adversas.

Suggested Citation

  • Loza Tellería, Gabriel, 2002. "El shock de precios de los productos básicos en Bolivia," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col070:10808
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    Cited by:

    1. Arevilca Vasquez, Bismarck Javier & Risso Charquero, Adrian Winston, 2007. "Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model: Evidence for Bolivia 1953-2002," MPRA Paper 5685, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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