IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2021-04-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Price Crisis and Bankruptcy Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Adhitya Agri Putra

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

  • D.P. Emrinaldi Nur

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

  • Ferdy Putra

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

Abstract

This research aims to examine the effect of the oil price crisis on bankruptcy risk. The sample consists of 9 oil and gas companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange 2013-2019. The analysis method uses fixed-effect regression. The result shows that the oil price crisis increases bankruptcy risk, especially for companies with higher leverage. Furthermore, the oil price crisis reduces market value for companies with higher bankruptcy risk. It indicates that the oil price crisis brings performance for oil and gas companies to generate revenue, earnings, and cash flow that leads companies to insolvency condition.

Suggested Citation

  • Adhitya Agri Putra & D.P. Emrinaldi Nur & Ferdy Putra, 2021. "Oil Price Crisis and Bankruptcy Risk," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 7-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-04-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/11111/5878
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/11111/5878
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anowor Oluchukwu F.* & Uwakwe Queendaline Chinyere & Chikwendu Nneka Francisca, 2019. "How Investment Does Affect Unemployment in a Developing Economy," Sumerianz Journal of Economics and Finance, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 2(7), pages 82-88, 07-2019.
    2. Frank Barry, 1991. "Industrialization Strategies for Developing Countries: Lessons from the Irish Experience," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 85-98, March.
    3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 131-158.
    4. John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Policy Research Notes (PRNs) 94725, The World Bank.
    5. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    6. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    7. Harlan Platt & Marjorie Platt, 2002. "Predicting corporate financial distress: Reflections on choice-based sample bias," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 26(2), pages 184-199, June.
    8. Ansari, Dawud, 2017. "OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and the shale revolution: Insights from equilibrium modelling and oil politics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 166-178.
    9. Gregor Andrade & Steven N. Kaplan, 1998. "How Costly is Financial (Not Economic) Distress? Evidence from Highly Leveraged Transactions that Became Distressed," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(5), pages 1443-1493, October.
    10. Agus Nurudin, 2020. "Bankruptcy and Postponement of Debt Payments for Large Companies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 388-395.
    11. Nanda Fito Mela & Adhitya Agri Putra, 2020. "Oil Price and Earnings Management: Evidence from Crude Oil and Gas Companies in Indonesian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 352-355.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nick Wilson & Mike Wright, 2013. "Private Equity, Buy-outs and Insolvency Risk," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(7-8), pages 949-990, September.
    2. Zhou, Fanyin & Fu, Lijun & Li, Zhiyong & Xu, Jiawei, 2022. "The recurrence of financial distress: A survival analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1100-1115.
    3. Evan Dudley & Niclas Andrén & Håkan Jankensgård, 2022. "How do firms hedge in financial distress?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1324-1351, July.
    4. Lyandres, Evgeny & Zhdanov, Alexei, 2013. "Investment opportunities and bankruptcy prediction," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 439-476.
    5. Balcaen, Sofie & Ooghe, Hubert, 2006. "35 years of studies on business failure: an overview of the classic statistical methodologies and their related problems," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 63-93.
    6. Halpern, Paul & Kieschnick, Robert & Rotenberg, Wendy, 2009. "Determinants of financial distress and bankruptcy in highly levered transactions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 772-783, August.
    7. Chiuling Lu & Ann Yang & Jui-Feng Huang, 2015. "Bankruptcy predictions for U.S. air carrier operations: a study of financial data," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 39(3), pages 574-589, July.
    8. Megginson, William L. & Meles, Antonio & Sampagnaro, Gabriele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2019. "Financial distress risk in initial public offerings: How much do venture capitalists matter?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 10-30.
    9. Vladislav V. Afanasev & Yulia A. Tarasova, 2022. "Default Prediction for Housing and Utilities Management Firms Using Non-Financial Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 91-110, December.
    10. du Jardin, Philippe, 2015. "Bankruptcy prediction using terminal failure processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 286-303.
    11. Reisz, Alexander S. & Perlich, Claudia, 2007. "A market-based framework for bankruptcy prediction," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 85-131, July.
    12. Gil Cohen, 2023. "ESG risks and corporate survival," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 16-21, March.
    13. Seoki Lee & Yoon Koh & Qu Xiao, 2014. "Internationalization and Financial Health in the US Hotel Industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 87-105, February.
    14. Farida Titik Kristanti, 2017. "Corporate Governance, Financial Ratios, Political Risk and Financial Distress, A Survival Analysis," GATR Journals afr130, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    15. Clemente-Almendros, José A. & Sogorb-Mira, Francisco, 2018. "Costs of debt, tax benefits and a new measure of non-debt tax shields: examining debt conservatism in Spanish listed firms," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 162-175.
    16. Aaro Hazak & Kadri Männasoo, 2007. "Indicators of corporate default : an EU based empirical study," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2007-10, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Sep 2007.
    17. Acharya, Viral V. & Bharath, Sreedhar T. & Srinivasan, Anand, 2007. "Does industry-wide distress affect defaulted firms? Evidence from creditor recoveries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(3), pages 787-821, September.
    18. Tamara Ayœs, Armando Lenin & Villegas, Gladis Cecilia & Leones Castro, María Cristina & Salazar Bocanegra, Juan Antonio, 2018. "Modelaci—n del riesgo de insolvencia en empresas del sector salud empleando modelos logit || Modeling of Insolvency Risk in Health Sector Companies Using Logit Models," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 26(1), pages 128-145, Diciembre.
    19. Lei, Jin & Qiu, Jiaping & Wan, Chi & Yu, Fan, 2021. "Credit risk spillovers and cash holdings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    20. Pryshchepa, Oksana & Aretz, Kevin & Banerjee, Shantanu, 2013. "Can investors restrict managerial behavior in distressed firms?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 222-239.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil price crisis; bankruptcy risk; companies value.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-04-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.