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Big push industrialization: some empirical evidence for East Asia and Eastern Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Christine Sauer

    () (University of New Mexico)

  • Geng Li

    () (University of Michigan)

  • Kishore Gawande

    () (Texas A&M University)

Abstract

In this paper we examine some testable implications of growth theories based on threshold externalities and complementarities. Specifically, we use industry data for a set of eight emerging economies in East Asia and Eastern Europe to perform general tests of the big push industrialization hypothesis of Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny (1989). The preliminary results reported here are generally supportive of the theory. They also suggest that government policy may have played a role in moving an economy from a "bad" to a "good" equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Sauer & Geng Li & Kishore Gawande, 2003. "Big push industrialization: some empirical evidence for East Asia and Eastern Europe," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(9), pages 1-7.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-03o40005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ciccone, Antonio & Matsuyama, Kiminori, 1996. "Start-up costs and pecuniary externalities as barriers to economic development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 33-59, April.
    2. Kiminori Matsuyama, 1991. "Increasing Returns, Industrialization, and Indeterminacy of Equilibrium," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 617-650.
    3. Murphy, Kevin M & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1989. "Industrialization and the Big Push," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(5), pages 1003-1026, October.
    4. Perron, Pierre, 1997. "Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 355-385, October.
    5. Rodrik, Dani, 1996. "Coordination failures and government policy: A model with applications to East Asia and Eastern Europe," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1-2), pages 1-22, February.
    6. Paul Krugman, 1991. "History versus Expectations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 651-667.
    7. Larry E. Jones & Rodolfo Manuelli, 1990. "A Convex Model of Equilibrium Growth," NBER Working Papers 3241, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Atish R. Ghosh & Holger Wolf, 1998. "Thresholds and Context Dependence in Growth," NBER Working Papers 6480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Costas Azariadis & Allan Drazen, 1990. "Threshold Externalities in Economic Development," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 105(2), pages 501-526.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Schäfer & Thomas Steger, 2014. "Journey into the Unknown? Economic Consequences of Factor Market Integration under Increasing Returns to Scale," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 783-807, September.
    2. Fred Bateman & Jaime Ros & Jason E. Taylor, 2009. "Did New Deal and World War II Public Capital Investments Facilitate a "Big Push" in the American South?," Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 165(2), pages 307-341, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    big push industrialization;

    JEL classification:

    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

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