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Econometric Models of Foreign Trade in OECD Countries

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  • Guisan, M.Carmen
  • Cancelo, M.Teresa

Abstract

This article presents some econometric models that have into account both supply and demand sides as determinants of real Exports, and the important relationships that exist between industrial development and foreign trade. The models also focus on the positive role that human capital plays to reduce external debt, by fostering the evolution of exports and favouring the increase of imports necessary for industrial development. The dynamic models are estimated with data of 25 OECD countries during the period 1960-97 and we find stability of coefficients among countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Guisan, M.Carmen & Cancelo, M.Teresa, 2002. "Econometric Models of Foreign Trade in OECD Countries," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(2), pages 65-81.
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:2:y:2002:i:2_4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guisan, M.Carmen & Aguayo, Eva & Exposito, Pilar, 2001. "Economic growth and cycles: Cross-country models of education, industry and fertility and international comparisons," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(1), pages 9-37.
    2. Cancelo, M.Teresa & Guisan, M.Carmen & Frias, Isidro, 2001. "Supply and Demand on Manufacturing Output in OECD countries: econometric models and specification test," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 1(2), pages 7-42.
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    Cited by:

    1. MARTÍN ARNAIZ, José Lorenzo, 2010. "Los Lazos Entre La Educacion Y La Competitividad En Asia," Estudios Economicos de Desarrollo Internacional, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1), pages 39-56.
    2. Olofin, S.O. & Salisu, A.A & Tule, M.K, 2020. "Revised Small Macro-Econometric Model Of The Nigerian Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 97-116.
    3. Guisan, M.C. & Exposito, P., 2006. "Production by sector in China, India and OECD Countries, 1985-2005," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
    4. Maite CANCELO & Emilia VAZQUEZ-ROZAS, 2020. "Las Exportaciones Como Fuente De Crecimiento Económico: Un Modelo Econométrico Para Galicia 2002-2019," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 111-124.
    5. Mohammed Abdullah Aljebrin, 2012. "The Determinants of Arab Countries Demand for Saudi Exports: Panel Data Evidence," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(2), pages 20-28, September.
    6. IBRAHIM, Mohamed Abbas, 2012. "Merchandise Export Demand Function For Egypt: A Panel Data Analysis," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 12(1).
    7. Jamal HUSEIN, 2008. "Traditional Export Demand Relation: A Cointegration and Parameter Constancy Analysis," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(2).
    8. Ding, H., 2006. "The determinants of Innovation: An Empirical cross-country study of 43 countries for 1998-2002," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
    9. GUISAN, Maria-Carmen, 2015. "Selected Readings On Econometrics Methodology, 2001-2010: Causality, Measure Of Variables, Dynamic Models And Economic Approaches To Growth And Development," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 15(2), pages 213-220.
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    11. GUISAN, Maria-Carmen & AGUAYO, Eva, 2017. "Employment, Wages And Economic Development In Mexico And The United States, 1965-2015: Impact Of Industry And The Effects Of Nafta," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(2).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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