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Herausforderungen der Legislaturperiode für die Tragfähigkeit der Renten- und Pflegeversicherung

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  • Stefan Moog
  • Bernd Raffelhüschen

Abstract

The aftermath of the economic crisis and the burden of the fiscal stimulus packages call for considerable consolidation efforts by federal and state governments to meet the goal of a structurally balanced budget as required by the German debt brake in the medium-run. However, the real challenge for the sustainability of Germany's public finances is still to be found in the consequences of demographic transition for the financial stability of Germany's mandatory social insurance schemes. For this reason, the present paper addresses the challenges faced by the newly elected German government in the current legislative period to cope with the fiscal burden of population ageing for the sustainability of Germany's public pension and long-term care insurance schemes. Die Nachwirkungen der Wirtschaftskrise und die Lasten der Konjunkturprogramme werden den Bund und die Länder bereits in dieser Legislaturperiode zu umfangreichen Konsolidierungsmaßnahmen zwingen, um das durch die Schuldenbremse gesteckte Ziel eines strukturell ausgeglichenen Haushalts zu erreichen. Das eigentliche Tragfähigkeitsproblem der öffentlichen Haushalte ist jedoch nach wie vor auf die Folgen der demografischen Entwicklung für die Finanzen der umlagefinanzierten Sozialversicherungen zurückzuführen. Vor diesem Hintergrund untersucht der vorliegende Beitrag, welchen Herausforderungen sich die schwarz-gelbe Regierungskoalition in der laufenden Legislaturperiode stellen muss, um die Tragfähigkeit der gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung und der sozialen Pflegeversicherung zu gewährleisten.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Moog & Bernd Raffelhüschen, 2010. "Herausforderungen der Legislaturperiode für die Tragfähigkeit der Renten- und Pflegeversicherung," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 79(1), pages 27-43.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:79-1-3
    DOI: 10.3790/vjh.79.1.27
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hagist, Christian & Klusen, Norbert & Plate, Andreas & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2005. "Social Health Insurance: the major driver of unsustainable fiscal policy?," Discussion Papers 133, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Institut für Finanzwissenschaft.
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    4. Auerbach, Alan J & Gokhale, Jagadeesh & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 1992. " Generational Accounting: A New Approach to Understanding the Effects of Fiscal Policy on Saving," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 94(2), pages 303-318.
    5. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1994. "Generational Accounting: A Meaningful Way to Evaluate Fiscal Policy," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 73-94, Winter.
    6. Hagist, Christian & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2004. "Friedens- versus Ausscheidegrenze in der Krankenversicherung: Ein kriegerischer Beitrag für mehr Nachhaltigkeit," Discussion Papers 115, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Institut für Finanzwissenschaft.
    7. Stefan Fetzer & Bernd Raffelhüschen, 2005. "Zur Wiederbelebung des Generationenvertrags in der gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung: Die Freiburger Agenda," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(2), pages 255-274, May.
    8. Christian Hagist & Norbert Klusen & Andreas Plate & Bernd Raffelhüschen, 2005. "Social Health Insurance - the Major Driver of Unsustainable Fiscal Policy?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1574, CESifo.
    9. Hagist, Christian & Klusen, Norbert & Plate, Andreas & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2005. "Social health insurance: The major driver of unsustainable fiscal policy?," FZG Discussion Papers 1, University of Freiburg, Research Center for Generational Contracts (FZG).
    10. Martin Gasche, 2009. "Der Nachholberg in der Gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 89(9), pages 610-615, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Müller, Christoph & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2011. "Demografischer Wandel: Künftige Handlungsoptionen für die deutsche Rentenpolitik," IZA Standpunkte 40, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ageing; Social Security; sustainability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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