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Euroland: Besser als befürchtet, aber schlechter als erhofft?

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  • Jochen Michaelis
  • Michael Pflüger

Abstract

Die Schaffung der Europäischen Währungsunion hatte in wissenschaftlichen Kreisen heftigste Kontroversen ausgelöst. Der vorliegende Beitrag unternimmt, dreieinhalb Jahre nach dem Beginn der Währungsunion, eine Bestandsaufnahme der Entwicklungen in den diesbezüglich zugrunde liegenden zentralen Problembereichen: den Arbeitsmärkten, der Inflationsentwicklung und der Budgetproblematik. Eine Analyse der Thesen im Lichte der bisherigen makroökonomischen Daten führt zu einem gemischten Urteil: Während die Entwicklungen auf den Arbeitsmärkten und im Inflationsbereich bislang in der Tendenz positiv sind, stagniert die angestrebte Besserung bei der Budget- und Schuldenproblematik. Da die weltwirtschaftlichen Einflüsse bis jetzt günstig bzw. für alle Teilnehmerländer von ähnlicher Wirkung waren, steht ein harter Test des makroökonomischen Rahmens aber noch aus.

Suggested Citation

  • Jochen Michaelis & Michael Pflüger, 2002. "Euroland: Besser als befürchtet, aber schlechter als erhofft?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 71(3), pages 296-311.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:71-30-2
    DOI: 10.3790/vjh.71.3.296
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    1. Jochen Michaelis & Heike Minich, 2004. "Inflationsdifferenzen im Euroraum - eine Bestandsaufnahme," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 59(04), pages 379-405, December.
    2. Eckey, Hans-Friedrich & Türck, Matthias, 2005. "Deutsche Innovationsregionen," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 69, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    3. repec:got:cegedp:35 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Michaelis, Jochen, 2005. "Zur Reform der Leistungsformen der Pflegeversicherung: Ein familienökonomischer Ansatz," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 74, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    5. Henrich, Károly, 2004. "Globale Einkommensdisparitäten und -polaritäten," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 60, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.

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