Application of the Family of Sign RCA Models for Obtaining the Selected Risk Measures
Accurate modelling of risk is very important in finance. There are many alternative risk measures, however none of them is dominating. This paper proposes to use the family of Sign RCA models to obtain the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) measures. For models from the family of Sign RCA models and AR-GARCH model the one-step forecasts of VaR were calculated based on rolling estimates from the given model using different window sizes. To obtain the VaR and ES measures the filtered historical simulation was used in new version proposed by Christoffersen. The results were verified using backtesting and the loss function.
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,"
Journal of Econometrics,
Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Aue, Alexander, 2004. "Strong approximation for RCA(1) time series with applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 369-382, July.
- Carlo Acerbi & Dirk Tasche, 2002. "Expected Shortfall: A Natural Coherent Alternative to Value at Risk," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 31(2), pages 379-388, 07. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpn:umkdem:v:9:y:2009:p:39-50. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Miroslawa Buczynska)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.