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Evidencia empírica de la curva S en las balanzas comerciales bilaterales de Colombia


  • Jose Julián Cao Alvira
  • Lorena Andrea Palacios Chacón


La condición Marshall-Lerner la curva J y la curva S han surgido como elementos teóricos y empíricos desarrollados para el estudio de la interacción entre las tasas de cambio y los patrones internacionales de comercio bilateral. Estas poseen una relevancia significativa en el desarrollo de política pública nacional y han sido objeto de estudio por la comunidad académica y profesional. La más reciente de estas teorías, la curva S, se conoce como la conducta que se teoriza hallar en la función de correlación cruzada entre la tasa de cambio real y la balanza comercial a corto plazo. Basado en dicho contexto teórico, este artículo busca evidencia empírica sobre la existencia de la curva S en el intercambio comercial bilateral de bienes commodities y non-commodities entre Colombia y Estados Unidos y Venezuela, sus principales socios comerciales, en los trimestres entre 1994:1 y 2009:4.

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  • Jose Julián Cao Alvira & Lorena Andrea Palacios Chacón, 2012. "Evidencia empírica de la curva S en las balanzas comerciales bilaterales de Colombia," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000442:010296

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. María del Pilar Esguerra Umana & Enrique Montes Uribe & Aaron Garavito Acosta, 2010. "El comercio colombo – venezolano: características y evolución reciente," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, April.
    2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
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    More about this item


    Curva S; balanza comercial; tasa de cambio real; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General


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