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Interest Rate Rules vs. Money Growth Rules: Some Theoretical Issues and an Empirical Application for Venezuela

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  • Víctor Tiberio Olivo

    (Banco Central de Venezuela)

Abstract

This paper main theme is that the arguments against the use of money (i.e. money growth rate rules) in the conduct of monetary policy are not so strong, particularly for less developed economies. I analyze this topic in two ways: i) using some simple theoretical forward-looking macro models and evaluating their inflation and output variance under interest rate and monetary aggregates rules; ii) setting up models similar to the theoretical ones, but with more complex dynamics, assigning values to the parameters, and solving them for different kind of shocks under interest rate and monetary aggregates rules.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Víctor Tiberio Olivo, 2005. "Interest Rate Rules vs. Money Growth Rules: Some Theoretical Issues and an Empirical Application for Venezuela," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 57-82, January-J.
  • Handle: RePEc:cml:moneya:v:xviii:y:2005:i:1:p:57-82
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laurence Ball, 1999. "Efficient Rules for Monetary Policy," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(1), pages 63-83, April.
    2. Bennett T. McCallum, 1999. "Recent developments in the analysis of monetary policy rules," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 81(Nov), pages 3-12.
    3. Nelson, Edward, 2002. "Direct effects of base money on aggregate demand: theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 687-708, May.
    4. Laurence M. Ball & Niamh Sheridan, 2004. "Does Inflation Targeting Matter?," NBER Chapters, in: The Inflation-Targeting Debate, pages 249-276, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Lansing, Kevin J. & Trehan, Bharat, 2003. "Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 249-256, November.
    6. Carl E. Walsh, 2003. "Monetary Theory and Policy, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232316, April.
    7. Víctor Tiberio Olivo, 2003. "Taylor Rules and Inflation Targeting do not Work with Systematic Foreign Exchange Market Intervention," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 51-67, January-J.
    8. Manfred J. M. Neumann & Jurgen Von Hagen, 2002. "Does inflation targeting matter?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 84(Jul), pages 127-148.
    9. McCallum, Bennett T & Nelson, Edward, 1999. "An Optimizing IS-LM Specification for Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Analysis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 31(3), pages 296-316, August.
    10. Allan H. Meltzer, 2001. "The Transmission Process," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Deutsche Bundesbank (ed.), The Monetary Transmission Process, chapter 3, pages 112-130, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor, Olivo, 2007. "El Régimen de Metas de Inflación en Brasil: Breve Descripción y Evaluación de su Desempeño [Brazil's Inflation Targeting Regime: Brief Description and Evaluation of its Performance]," MPRA Paper 41405, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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