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Japan - Aufschwung auf fragilem Untergrund

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  • Martin Meurers

Abstract

In Japan ist das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt im Jahr 2002 nur um 0,2% gestiegen. Die Arbeitslosenquote lag im Jahresdurchschnitt bei 5,4%, und die Preise sanken - im vierten Jahr in Folge - um 0,9%. In diesem Jahr dürfte das reale BIP um 2,7% expandieren. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt wird sich keine Verbesserung einstellen, und die Verbraucherpreise werden nochmals um 0,4% fallen. 2004 wird das reale BIP um 1,8% zunehmen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird sich auf 5,5% erhöhen und die Konsumentenpreise werden sich um 0,3% verringern.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Meurers, 2003. "Japan - Aufschwung auf fragilem Untergrund," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(21), pages 42-51, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:21:p:42-51
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifosd_2003_21_6.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute, 2003. "Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Herbst 2003," HWWA Reports 235, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    2. Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute, 2003. "Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Herbst 2003," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(20), pages 3-41, October.
    3. Krugman, Paul & Taylor, Lance, 1978. "Contractionary effects of devaluation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 445-456, August.
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    Keywords

    Wirtschaftswachstum; Entwicklung; Wirtschaftspolitik; Arbeitsmarkt; Öffentlicher Haushalt; Finanzpolitik; Japan;

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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