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The State of the World Economy and the German Economy in Spring 2003

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  • Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute

Abstract

Am 15. April stellten die sechs Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute in Berlin ihr Frühjahrsgutachten der Presse vor. Sie kamen zu der Ansicht, dass sich die Weltkonjunktur in einer Schwächephase befindet. Mit der Eskalation des Irak-Konflikts und der damit zunehmenden weltweiten Unsicherheit über die wirtschaftliche und geopolitische Entwicklung ist die konjunkturelle Erholung erneut ins Stocken geraten. In nahezu allen Industrieländern, aber auch in den Schwellenländern und in Mittel- und Osteuropa hat sich die Zunahme des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Winterhalbjahr wieder abgeschwächt. In den USA wurde diese Grundtendenz durch die Aufwendungen für den Irak-Krieg überlagert.

Suggested Citation

  • Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute, 2003. "The State of the World Economy and the German Economy in Spring 2003," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(07), pages 3-45, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:07:p:3-45
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Truger, Achim, 2004. "Verteilungs- und beschäftigungspolitische Risiken aktueller Steuerreformkonzepte: Eine Analyse mit Steuerbelastungsvergleichen für konkrete Haushaltstypen," WSI Working Papers 120, The Institute of Economic and Social Research (WSI), Hans Böckler Foundation.
    2. Truger, Achim & Hein, Eckhard, 2004. "Macroeconomic co-ordination as an economic policy concept : opportunities and obstacles in the EMU," WSI Working Papers 125, The Institute of Economic and Social Research (WSI), Hans Böckler Foundation.
    3. Boss, Alfred & Kamps, Annette & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Schmidt, Rainer, 2004. "Deutsche Konjunktur: gedämpfte Erholung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3214, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Grömling, Michael & Römer, Christof & Schäfer, Holger, 2003. "Konjunkturprognose 2004," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 30(3), pages 5-19.
    5. Eckhard Hein & Thorsten Schulten & Achim Truger, 2004. "Wage trends and deflation risks in Germany and Europe," Macroeconomics 0412008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Boss, Alfred & Elendner, Thomas, 2003. "Steuerreform und Lohnsteueraufkommen in Deutschland - Simulationen auf Basis der Lohnsteuerstatistik," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3126, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    7. Eckhard Hein & Achim Truger, 2005. "What ever happened to Germany? Is the decline of the former european key currency country caused by structural sclerosis or by macroeconomic mismanagement?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 3-28.
    8. Eckhard Hein & Achim Truger, 2005. "Macroeconomic policies, wage developments, and Germany’s stagnation," Macroeconomics 0508015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Lehment, Harmen & Oskamp, Frank, 2004. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Bedingungen für einen Anstieg des Arbeitsvolumens in Deutschland," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3216, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Annette Weichselberger, 2003. "Western German manufacturing: Following noticeable decline an increase of 2% is planned for 2003," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(14), pages 29-34, July.
    11. Truger, Achim, 2003. "Germany's Poor Economic Performance in the Last Decade: It's the Macroeconomy, not Institutional Sclerosis," WSI Working Papers 118, The Institute of Economic and Social Research (WSI), Hans Böckler Foundation.
    12. Martin Meurers, 2003. "Japan - Upswing on fragile basis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(21), pages 42-51, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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