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Evaluation Of The Conduct Of Fiscal-Budgetary Policy In Romania, In The Period 2008 – 2023

Author

Listed:
  • Ionel LEONIDA

    (“Victor Slavescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary Research, Romania)

  • Cosmin – Octavian CEPOI

    (“Victor Slavescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary Research, Romania)

Abstract

In the proposed paper, we analyze the conduct of the fiscal-budgetary policy in Romania, in the period 2008-2023, based on the cyclically adjusted budget balance indicator, respectively its variations from one year to the next, in relation to the state of the economic cycle, analyzed on the basis of the output indicator gap. Through this synchronized analysis we can evaluate the conduct of the fiscal-budgetary policy in relation to theoretical benchmarks regarding its action in different phases of the economic cycle. The usefulness of the analysis is relevant from the perspective of the effective actions of the fiscal-budgetary policy on the fluctuations of the economic cycle, either in the sense of tempering them, respectively an anti-cyclical character, or of amplifying them, respectively a pro-cyclical character. The conduct of the fiscal-budgetary policy in relation to the economic state, becomes an increasingly important element, in the context of the increase in the frequency of shocks on the economy, in the adequacy and design of fiscal-budgetary strategies in the short and medium term, but also in the context of the European fiscal framework (discipline and fiscal consolidation), so as to ensure macroeconomic stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Ionel LEONIDA & Cosmin – Octavian CEPOI, 2024. "Evaluation Of The Conduct Of Fiscal-Budgetary Policy In Romania, In The Period 2008 – 2023," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 9(1), pages 90-96.
  • Handle: RePEc:brc:brccej:v:9:y:2024:i:1:p:90-96
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fabian Bornhorst & Annalisa Fedelino & Jan Gottschalk & Gabriela Dobrescu, 2011. "When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 11/02, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Gilles Mourre & Caterina Astarita & Savina Princen, 2014. "Adjusting the budget balance for the business cycle: the EU methodology," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 536, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Fabian Bornhorst & Ms. Annalisa Fedelino & Jan Gottschalk & Miss Gabriela Dobrescu, 2011. "When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2011/002, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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