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Having the Second Leg at Home - Advantage in the UEFA Champions League Knockout Phase?

Author

Listed:
  • Eugster Manuel J. A.

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität)

  • Gertheiss Jan

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität)

  • Kaiser Sebastian

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität)

Abstract

In soccer knockout ties, which are played in a two-legged format, the team having the return match at home is usually seen as advantaged. For checking this common belief, we analyzed matches of the UEFA Champions League knockout phase since 1994/1995. It is shown that the observed differences in frequencies of winning between teams first playing away and those which are first playing at home can be completely explained by their performances on the group stage and--more importantly--by the teams' general strength.

Suggested Citation

  • Eugster Manuel J. A. & Gertheiss Jan & Kaiser Sebastian, 2011. "Having the Second Leg at Home - Advantage in the UEFA Champions League Knockout Phase?," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:7:y:2011:i:1:n:6
    DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1275
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Franck, Egon & Nüesch, Stephan, 2010. "The effect of talent disparity on team productivity in soccer," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 218-229, April.
    2. Alexander Dilger & Hannah Geyer, 2009. "Are Three Points for a Win Really Better Than Two?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 305-318, June.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Klößner Stefan & Becker Martin, 2013. "Odd odds: The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 draw," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 249-270, September.
    3. Simon Amez & Stijn Baert & Brecht Neyt & Maarten Vandemaele, 2020. "No evidence for second leg home advantage in recent seasons of European soccer cups," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 156-160, January.
    4. Groll Andreas & Schauberger Gunther & Tutz Gerhard, 2015. "Prediction of major international soccer tournaments based on team-specific regularized Poisson regression: An application to the FIFA World Cup 2014," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 97-115, June.
    5. Yang Liu & Yan Shi, 2024. "Does a second‐leg home advantage exist in Asian football tournaments? A retrospective study," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(6), pages 4320-4329, September.
    6. Groll Andreas & Abedieh Jasmin, 2013. "Spain retains its title and sets a new record – generalized linear mixed models on European football championships," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 51-66, March.
    7. Peter‐J. Jost, 2024. "First home or first away? Optimal ordering in two‐legged ties," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 54-69, January.
    8. Francisco J. Bahamonde-Birke & Ramón Andrés Bahamonde-Birke, 2023. "About the “Away Goals Rule†in Association Football. Does Scrapping the Rule Increase the Fairness of the Game?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 24(3), pages 310-328, April.

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