IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/worlde/v47y2024i6p2706-2740.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparing alternative China and the US arrangements with CPTPP

Author

Listed:
  • Chunding Li
  • Xin Lin
  • John Whalley

Abstract

Following China's formal application to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans‐Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), the US' intention to rejoin the trade agreement has obviously strengthened. This article develops a numerical general equilibrium model encompassing 29 countries, incorporating the concept of inside money and trade costs. The aim is to simulate and compare the impacts of China and the US participating in the CPTPP. Comparison results indicate that China entering the CPTPP would yield greater benefits for remember countries in terms of trade, GDP and manufacturing employment compared to the US. Moreover, China's participation can also positively impact GDP and manufacturing employment in most non‐member countries. Additionally, our simulation results unveil that the US would be more favoured among CPTPP members and globally concerning welfare considerations.

Suggested Citation

  • Chunding Li & Xin Lin & John Whalley, 2024. "Comparing alternative China and the US arrangements with CPTPP," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(6), pages 2706-2740, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:47:y:2024:i:6:p:2706-2740
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13553
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13553
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/twec.13553?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Todsadee Areerat & Hiroshi Kameyama & Shoichi Ito & Koh-en Yamauchi, 2012. "Trans Pacific Stategic Economic Partnership With Japan, South Korea and China Integrate: General Equilibrium Approach," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 4(1), pages 40-46, January.
    2. G. C. Archibald & R. C. Lipsey, 1960. "A Symposium on Monetary Theory: Monetary and Value Theory: Further Comment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 28(1), pages 50-56.
    3. Dennis Novy, 2013. "Gravity Redux: Measuring International Trade Costs With Panel Data," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 101-121, January.
    4. Pao‐Li Chang & Phuong T. B. Nguyen, 2022. "Global value chains and the CPTPP," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(12), pages 3780-3832, December.
    5. Li, Chunding & Wang, Jing & Whalley, John, 2016. "Impact of mega trade deals on China: A computational general equilibrium analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 13-25.
    6. Thomas Chaney, 2008. "Distorted Gravity: The Intensive and Extensive Margins of International Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(4), pages 1707-1721, September.
    7. Jonathan Eaton & Samuel Kortum, 2002. "Technology, Geography, and Trade," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1741-1779, September.
    8. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6apm7lruv088iagm4rv2c33jtg is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6apm7lruv088iagm4rv2c33jtg is not listed on IDEAS
    10. John Gilbert & Taiji Furusawa & Robert Scollay, 2018. "The economic impact of the Trans†Pacific Partnership: What have we learned from CGE simulation?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 831-865, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chunding Li & John Whalley, 2021. "Effects of the comprehensive and progressive agreement for trans‐pacific partnership," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 1312-1337, May.
    2. Chunding Li & Xin Lin & John Whalley, 2020. "Comparing Alternative China and US Arrangements with CPTPP," NBER Working Papers 26877, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Foellmi, Reto & Hepenstrick, Christian & Torun, David, 2024. "Triangle inequalities in international trade: The neglected dimension," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Tongsheng Xu & Xiao Liang, 2017. "Measuring aggregate trade costs and its empirical effects on manufacturing export composition in China," China Finance and Economic Review, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Jareb, Colin & Nigai, Sergey, 2022. "Gravity models and the Law of Large Numbers," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    6. Siyu Huang & Wensha Gou & Hongbo Cai & Xiaomeng Li & Qinghua Chen, 2020. "Effects of Regional Trade Agreement to Local and Global Trade Purity Relationships," Papers 2006.07329, arXiv.org.
    7. Chunding Li & John Whalley & Chuantian He & Chuangwei Lin, 2021. "The 2008 Financial Crisis and the Lack of Retaliatory Trade Intervention," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 67(1), pages 78-105.
    8. Jacks, David S. & Meissner, Christopher M. & Novy, Dennis, 2011. "Trade booms, trade busts, and trade costs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 185-201, March.
    9. Chen, Natalie & Novy, Dennis, 2011. "Gravity, trade integration, and heterogeneity across industries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 206-221.
    10. Mazhikeyev, Arman & Edwards, T. Huw & Rizov, Marian, 2015. "Openness and isolation: The trade performance of the former Soviet Central Asian countries," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 935-947.
    11. Yoto V. Yotov, 2024. "The evolution of structural gravity: The workhorse model of trade," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(4), pages 578-603, October.
    12. Mario Larch & Yoto V. Yotov, 2016. "General Equilibrium Trade Policy Analysis with Structural Gravity," CESifo Working Paper Series 6020, CESifo.
    13. Cecília Hornok, 2011. "Need for Speed: Is Faster Trade in the EU Trade-Creating?," wiiw Working Papers 75, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    14. Alessandro NICITA & Jaime DE MELO, 2018. "Non-Tariff Measures: Data and Quantitative Tools of Analysis," Working Papers P218, FERDI.
    15. Liu, Ailan & Lu, Cuicui & Wang, Zhixuan, 2021. "Does cultural distance hinder exports?: A comparative study of China and the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    16. Chuantian He & Chunding Li & John Whalley, 2018. "General equilibrium trade modelling with Canada–US transportation costs," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(7), pages 806-829, October.
    17. Festus Ebo Turkson, 2018. "How well does observable trade data measure trade friction costs? Evidence from member countries within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 69-86, March.
    18. Piermartini, Roberta & Yotov, Yoto V., 2016. "Estimating trade policy effects with structural gravity," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2016-10, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    19. Li, Chunding & Whalley, John, 2017. "How close is Asia already to being a trade bloc?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 847-864.
    20. Miroudot, Sébastien & Sauvage, Jehan & Shepherd, Ben, 2012. "Trade costs and productivity in services sectors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 36-38.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:47:y:2024:i:6:p:2706-2740. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0378-5920 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.