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Modelling The Impact Of Telecommuting On Future Urbanisation In The Netherlands

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  • SAIM MUHAMMAD
  • HENK F.L. OTTENS
  • TOM DE JONG

Abstract

Information and communication technologies (ICTs) have evolved to such a level that they can facilitate people's access to opportunities in virtual space (through telecommuting, teleshopping, e‐learning, and so forth) along with accessing them in physical space. A hybrid space is therefore emerging, which will have consequences for people's spatial behaviour. In particular telecommuting is expected to change residential preferences and affect future urbanisation patterns. To explore this assertion, residential land‐use allocation in the 2000 to 2030 period is projected for the Netherlands using a specially designed set of linked models for two scenarios (physical space and hybrid space). Results indicate that urban decentralisation and deconcentration are likely to accelerate because of increasing telecommuting. Attractive regions to live in at medium distances from large cities will in particular be confronted with new urban pressure of a sprawling nature. Urban policies have to be reconsidered to cope with these new spatial development trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Saim Muhammad & Henk F.L. Ottens & Tom De Jong, 2008. "Modelling The Impact Of Telecommuting On Future Urbanisation In The Netherlands," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 99(2), pages 160-177, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:tvecsg:v:99:y:2008:i:2:p:160-177
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9663.2008.00452.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Vrchota Jaroslav & Frantíková Zuzana & Vlčková Miroslava, 2019. "Why Some SME’s in the Czech Republic Adopt Telework and Others Not?," European Countryside, Sciendo, vol. 11(4), pages 599-615, December.
    2. João de Abreu e Silva, 2022. "Residential preferences, telework perceptions, and the intention to telework: insights from the Lisbon Metropolitan Area during the COVID‐19 pandemic," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(S1), pages 142-161, November.
    3. Miroslava Vlčková & Zuzana Frantíková & Jaroslav Vrchota, 2019. "Relationship between the Financial Indicators and the Implementation of Telework," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 1, pages 45-66, March.

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