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Global Oil Prices, Oil Industry And Equity Returns: Russian Experience

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  • Ramaprasad Bhar
  • Biljana Nikolova

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to promote a greater understanding of the implications of oil price changes on the equity investment climate in Russia. A dynamic bivariate exponential general autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (EGARCH) analysis shows that global oil price returns have significant impact on Russian equity returns and volatility. At the same time, a dynamic correlation analysis highlights Russia's importance in the international geopolitical scene and its positioning as a reliable supplier of oil during times of turmoil in the Middle East. There are a number of challenges, however, that threaten to slow down the performance of the oil industry in Russia and compromise the country's future economic growth and stock market performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramaprasad Bhar & Biljana Nikolova, 2010. "Global Oil Prices, Oil Industry And Equity Returns: Russian Experience," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(2), pages 169-186, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:57:y:2010:i:2:p:169-186
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.2010.00512.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kamarudin, Eka Azrin & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Islamic versus conventional stock market and its co-movement with crude oil: a wavelet analysis," MPRA Paper 65261, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 209-220.
    3. Gozde Unal & Derya Korman, 2012. "Analysis of Extreme Dependence Between Istanbul Stock Exchange and Oil Returns," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(4), pages 113-124.
    4. repec:eee:joecas:v:16:y:2017:i:c:p:26-41 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Dayanandan, Ajit & Donker, Han, 2011. "Oil prices and accounting profits of oil and gas companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 252-257.
    6. repec:eco:journ2:2019-04-27 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Filis, George & Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2011. "Dynamic correlation between stock market and oil prices: The case of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 152-164, June.
    8. Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    9. shafaai, Shafizal & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "Stock market and crude oil relationship: A wavelet analysis," MPRA Paper 62363, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Adams, Zeno & Kartsakli, Maria, 2017. "Has Crude Oil Become a Financial Asset? Evidence from Ten Years of Financialization," Working Papers on Finance 1710, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    11. George Filis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou, 2014. "Financial and monetary policy responses to oil price shocks: evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 709-729, May.
    12. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-26.
    13. repec:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:4:p:47-59 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Shahriar Hasan & Mohammad Mahbobi, 2013. "The Increasing Influence of Oil Prices on the Canadian Stock Market," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(3), pages 27-39.
    15. repec:eee:finana:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:148-156 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Wanat, Stanisław & Papież, Monika & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2014. "Causality in distribution between European stock markets and commodity prices: Using independence test based on the empirical copula," MPRA Paper 57706, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Mirzosaid Sultonov, 2016. "Dynamic conditional correlation and causality relationship among foreign exchange, stock and commodity markets: Evidence from 2014 Russian financial crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 949-962.
    18. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2014. "Spillovers between oil and stock markets at times of geopolitical unrest and economic turbulence," MPRA Paper 59760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. repec:eco:journ1:2018-04-7 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Syed Abul, Basher, 2014. "Stock markets and energy prices," MPRA Paper 53863, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Floros, Christos, 2013. "Oil and stock price returns: Evidence from European industrial sector indices in a time-varying environment," MPRA Paper 80495, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. repec:spr:nathaz:v:95:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3473-y is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Floros, Christos, 2013. "Oil and stock returns: Evidence from European industrial sector indices in a time-varying environment," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 175-191.

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