IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/obuest/v67y2005i2p207-230.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fluctuation Tests for a Change in Persistence

Author

Listed:
  • A. M. Robert Taylor

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a set of new persistence change tests which are similar in spirit to those of Kim ["Journal of Econometrics" (2000) Vol. 95, pp. 97-116], Kim "et al." ["Journal of Econometrics" (2002) Vol. 109, pp. 389-392] and Busetti and Taylor ["Journal of Econometrics" (2004) Vol. 123, pp. 33-66]. While the exisiting tests are based on ratios of sub-sample Kwiatkowski "et al." ["Journal of Econometrics" (1992) Vol. 54, pp. 158-179]-type statistics, our proposed tests are based on the corresponding functions of sub-sample implementations of the well-known maximal recursive-estimates and re-scaled range fluctuation statistics. Our statistics are used to test the null hypothesis that a time series displays constant trend stationarity ["I"(0)] behaviour against the alternative of a change in persistence either from trend stationarity to difference stationarity ["I"(1)], or vice versa. Representations for the limiting null distributions of the new statistics are derived and both finite-sample and asymptotic critical values are provided. The consistency of the tests against persistence change processes is also demonstrated. Numerical evidence suggests that our proposed tests provide a useful complement to the extant persistence change tests. An application of the tests to US inflation rate data is provided. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • A. M. Robert Taylor, 2005. "Fluctuation Tests for a Change in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(2), pages 207-230, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:2:p:207-230
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/servlet/useragent?func=synergy&synergyAction=showTOC&journalCode=obes&volume=67&issue=2&year=2005&part=null
    File Function: link to full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:hin:jnljps:802975 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Berkes, István & Hörmann, Siegfried & Horváth, Lajos, 2008. "The functional central limit theorem for a family of GARCH observations with applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(16), pages 2725-2730, November.
    3. Ventosa-Santaularària, Daniel & Gómez, Manuel, 2006. "Inflation and Breaks: the validity of the Dickey-Fuller test," MPRA Paper 58773, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2017. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1303, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
    5. D. Ventosa-Santaulària, 2009. "Spurious Regression," Journal of Probability and Statistics, Hindawi, vol. 2009, pages 1-27, August.
    6. S Coleman & K Sirichand, 2015. "Investigating Multiple Changes in Persistence in International Yields," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 20(1), pages 65-90, March.
    7. Skrobotov, Anton, 2015. "Likelihood Ratio Test for Change in Persistence," Published Papers skr001, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    8. Uwe Hassler & Jan Scheithauer, 2008. "On Critical Values of Tests against a Change in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(5), pages 705-710, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:2:p:207-230. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wiley Content Delivery) or (Christopher F. Baum). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/sfeixuk.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.