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On causal and non‐causal cointegrated vector autoregressive time series

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  • Anders Rygh Swensen

Abstract

Previous‐30 treatments of multivariate non‐causal time series have assumed stationarity. In this article, we consider integrated processes in a non‐causal setting. We generalize the Johansen–Granger representation for causal vector autoregressive (VAR) models to allow for dependence on future errors and discuss how the parameters can be estimated. The asymptotic distribution of the trace statistic is also considered. Some Monte Carlo simulations are presented.

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  • Anders Rygh Swensen, 2022. "On causal and non‐causal cointegrated vector autoregressive time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(2), pages 178-196, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:43:y:2022:i:2:p:178-196
    DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12607
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    References listed on IDEAS

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