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Spatio‐temporal mixed membership models for criminal activity

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  • Seppo Virtanen
  • Mark Girolami

Abstract

We suggest a probabilistic approach to study crime data in London and highlight the benefits of defining a statistical joint crime distribution model which provides insights into urban criminal activity. This is achieved by developing a hierarchical mixture model for observations, crime occurrences over a geographical study area, that are grouped according to multiple time stamps and crime categories. The mixture components correspond to spatial crime distributions over the study area and the goal is to infer, based on the observations, how and to what degree the latent distributions are shared across the groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Seppo Virtanen & Mark Girolami, 2021. "Spatio‐temporal mixed membership models for criminal activity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(4), pages 1220-1244, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:184:y:2021:i:4:p:1220-1244
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12642
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Quick, Matthew & Li, Guangquan & Brunton-Smith, Ian, 2018. "Crime-general and crime-specific spatial patterns: A multivariate spatial analysis of four crime types at the small-area scale," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 22-32.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiao‐Li Meng, 2021. "Enhancing (publications on) data quality: Deeper data minding and fuller data confession," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(4), pages 1161-1175, October.

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