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An explosion time characterization of asset price bubbles

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  • Robert A. Jarrow
  • Simon S. Kwok

Abstract

In a standard continuous time asset pricing model, this paper provides an explosion time characterization of asset price bubbles that extends the existing characterization theorems in the literature from diffusion processes to general semimartingales (which can include jumps). This characterization has a nice economic interpretation, not emphasized in the existing literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2023. "An explosion time characterization of asset price bubbles," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 469-479, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:23:y:2023:i:2:p:469-479
    DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mark Loewenstein & Gregory A. Willard, 2000. "Local martingales, arbitrage, and viability," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 16(1), pages 135-161.
    2. Daniel C. Schwarz, 2017. "Market completion with derivative securities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 263-284, January.
    3. Steven L. Heston & Mark Loewenstein & Gregory A. Willard, 2007. "Options and Bubbles," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(2), pages 359-390.
    4. Robert A. Jarrow, 2021. "Asset Price Bubbles," Springer Finance,, Springer.
    5. Peter Carr & Travis Fisher & Johannes Ruf, 2014. "On the hedging of options on exploding exchange rates," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 115-144, January.
    6. Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Inferring financial bubbles from option data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1013-1046, November.
    7. Soon Hyeok Choi & Robert A. Jarrow, 2022. "Applying The Local Martingale Theory Of Bubbles To Cryptocurrencies," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(03), pages 1-25, May.
    8. Alexander Cox & David Hobson, 2005. "Local martingales, bubbles and option prices," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 477-492, October.
    9. Leif Andersen & Vladimir Piterbarg, 2007. "Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 29-50, January.
    10. Philip Protter & Aditi Dandapani, 2019. "Strict Local Martingales and the Khasminskii test for Explosions," Papers 1903.02383, arXiv.org.
    11. Martin Schweizer & Johannes Wissel, 2008. "Term Structures Of Implied Volatilities: Absence Of Arbitrage And Existence Results," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 77-114, January.
    12. Jean Jacod & Philip Protter, 2010. "Risk-neutral compatibility with option prices," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 285-315, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lajos Horvath & Lorenzo Trapani & Shixuan Wang, 2024. "Sequential monitoring for explosive volatility regimes," Papers 2404.17885, arXiv.org.

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