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Some Fiscal Implications of Monetary Policy

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  • Harris Dellas
  • Kevin D. Salyer

Abstract

We study the implications of alternative monetary targeting procedures for real interest rates and economic activity. We find that countercyclical monetary policy rules lead to higher real interest rates, higher average tax rates, lower output but lower variability of tax rates and consumption relative to procyclical rules. For a country with a high level of public debt (e.g. Italy), the adoption of a countercyclical procedure such as interest rate pegging may conceivably raise public debt servicing costs by more than half a percentage point of GNP. Our analysis suggests that the current debate on the targeting procedures of the European Central Bank ought to be broadened to include a discussion of the fiscal implications of monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Harris Dellas & Kevin D. Salyer, 2003. "Some Fiscal Implications of Monetary Policy," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 21-36, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:55:y:2003:i:1:p:21-36
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-8586.00160
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    Cited by:

    1. Oscar Jorda & Kevin Salyer, 2003. "The Response of Term Rates to Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(4), pages 941-962, October.

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