IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjw/econen/v6y2016i1p63-75.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic factors and stock prices – A case of real estate stocks on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Vo Thi Quy

    (International University, Vietnam National University HCMC, Vietnam)

  • Dang Thi Ngoc Loi

    (International University, Vietnam National University HCMC, Vietnam)

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship of selected economic factors such as inflation rate, 10-year Government bond yields, GDP growth rate, exchange rate, and stock trading volumes and real estate stock price of 38 real estate companies listed on HOSE in period 7 years, from January 2009 to September 2015.The study found that 3 economic factors (inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and exchange rate) impact significantly on real estate stock prices; but the relationship between 10-year Government bond yield and trading volume, and real estate stock prices was not found. The research’s results imply that these factors should be taken into account as predictors of the movement of real estate stock price in Vietnamese stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Vo Thi Quy & Dang Thi Ngoc Loi, 2016. "Macroeconomic factors and stock prices – A case of real estate stocks on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 6(1), pages 63-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:bjw:econen:v:6:y:2016:i:1:p:63-75
    DOI: 10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.6.1.111.2016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journalofscience.ou.edu.vn/index.php/econ-en/article/view/111/100
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.6.1.111.2016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
    2. Ewan Rankin & Muhummed Shah Idil, 2014. "A Century of Stock-Bond Correlations," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 67-74, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tian, Maoxi & El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M., 2023. "The nonlinear and negative tail dependence and risk spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. De Paoli, Bianca & Küçük-Tuger, Hande & Søndergaard, Jens, 2010. "Monetary policy rules and foreign currency positions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121699, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Buiter, Willem H, 1984. "Saddlepoint Problems in Continuous Time Rational Expectations Models: A General Method and Some Macroeconomic Examples," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 665-680, May.
    4. Liang, Chin-Chia & Lin, Jeng-Bau & Hsu, Hao-Cheng, 2013. "Reexamining the relationships between stock prices and exchange rates in ASEAN-5 using panel Granger causality approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 560-563.
    5. Andrew Phiri, 2020. "Structural changes in exchange rate-stock returns dynamics in South Africa: examining the role of crisis and new trading platform," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 171-193, February.
    6. Blaise Gnimassoun & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "Current-account adjustments and exchange-rate misalignments," Working Papers hal-04141182, HAL.
    7. Khan, Muhammad Imran & Teng, Jian-Zhou & Khan, Muhammad Kamran & Jadoon, Arshad Ullah & Khan, Muhammad Fayaz, 2021. "The impact of oil prices on stock market development in Pakistan: Evidence with a novel dynamic simulated ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Bing Zhang & Xindan Li, 2010. "Currency appreciation and stock market performance: Evidence from China," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, vol. 5(3), pages 393-411, September.
    9. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Marcello Pericoli, 2018. "Macroeconomics determinants of the correlation between stocks and bonds," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1198, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Joscha Beckmann & Robert Czudaj, 2017. "Effective Exchange Rates, Current Accounts and Global Imbalances," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 500-533, August.
    12. Hong G. Min, 1998. "Determinants of emerging market bond spread : do economic fundamentals matter?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1899, The World Bank.
    13. Graciela Moguillansky, 1995. "¿Existe una Brecha Respecto del Sendero de Equilibrio Cambiario en el Perú? Un Análisis Empírico para el Período 1980-1994," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 32(97), pages 379-410.
    14. Riadh El abed, 2017. "Exploring the nexus between Stock prices and Macroeconomic shocks: Panel VAR approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 2053-2066.
    15. Oyetayo Oluwatosin J & Adeyeye Patrick Olufemi, 2017. "A Robust Application of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(1), pages 141-151.
    16. Kuper, Gerard H. & Lestano, 2007. "Dynamic conditional correlation analysis of financial market interdependence: An application to Thailand and Indonesia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 670-684, August.
    17. Michael L. Mussa, 1986. "The Effects of Commercial, Fiscal, Monetary, and Exchange Rate Policies on the Real Exchange Rate," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries, pages 43-88, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Kumeka, Terver Theophilus & Uzoma-Nwosu, Damian Chidozie & David-Wayas, Maria Onyinye, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 on the interrelationship among oil prices, stock prices and exchange rates in selected oil exporting economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Ahtiala, Pekka, 1998. "Monetary policy under flexible exchange rates: When is expansion contractionary?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 361-378.
    20. Andersson, Andreas & Österholm, Pär, 2001. "The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate," Working Paper Series 2001:11, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    21. Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2012. "Foreign exchange market reactions to sovereign credit news," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 845-864.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjw:econen:v:6:y:2016:i:1:p:63-75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Vu Tuan Truong (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journalofscience.ou.edu.vn/index.php/econ-en .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.