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Analysing the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in the Philippines

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  • Sin-Yu Ho
  • N.M. Odhiambo

Abstract

This paper analyses the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in the Philippines during the period 2001Q4–2016Q4. In particular, the paper examines the impact of banking sector development, inflation rate, exchange rate, economic growth, trade openness and stock market liquidity on the development of the Philippine stock market. Theoretical and empirical literature reveals diverse views on the relationship between each determinant and stock market development. In addition, the Philippine stock market has experienced remarkable growth in recent decades. However, there is no similar study on this country in the literature. The paper, therefore, enriches the literature by investigating the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in the Philippines using the ARDL bounds testing procedure. The results show that trade openness has had a negative impact on Philippine stock market development in the long run, whereas banking sector development and the exchange rate have had positive impacts on the development of the Philippine stock market in the short run. These findings are robust to alternative specifications of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Sin-Yu Ho & N.M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Analysing the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in the Philippines," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1451265-145, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1451265
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1451265
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    Cited by:

    1. Kholeka Mdingi & Sin-Yu Ho, 2023. "Income inequality and economic growth: An empirical investigation in South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2230027-223, June.
    2. Suha Alawi, 2019. "The Effect of Direct Foreign Investment on Stock Price Volatility in the Saudi Market," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(8), pages 875-887, August.
    3. Sin-Yu Ho, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in South Africa," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(2), pages 322-342, December.
    4. Alaaeddin Al-Tarawneh & Ghazi Al-Assaf, 2018. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Stock Market Development: Evidence From Jordan," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(3), pages 117-124, July.
    5. Sheilla Nyasha & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2020. "Determinants of the Brazilian Stock Market Development," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 54(1), pages 53-64, January-M.
    6. Bantyergu Engida Bati, 2025. "Determinants of Ethiopian banking sector development: a 30-year empirical analysis with ARDL model," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-21, December.
    7. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Ahmad Al-Majali & Abeer Alsarayrh, 2021. "Analyzing the Dynamics Between Macroeconomic Variables and the Stock Indexes of Emerging Markets, Using Non-linear Methods," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(3), pages 193-204, May.
    8. Abdorasoul Sadeghi & Hussein Marzban & Ali Hussein Samadi & Karim Azarbaiejani & Parviz Rostamzadeh, 2022. "Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market: the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.
    9. Viana, Jr., Dante Baiardo C. & Lourenço, Isabel & Black, Ervin L. & Martins, Orleans Silva, 2023. "Macroeconomic instability, institutions, and earnings management: An analysis in developed and emerging market countries," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Candauda Arachchige Saliya, 2022. "Stock market development and nexus of market liquidity: The case of Fiji," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4364-4382, October.

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