IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bgo/journl/v9y2025i1p151-165.html

Dynamic Connectedness among Australian Stock Market Sectors: A Time-Varying Parameter VAR Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Şerife Akıncı TOK

    (Zonguldak Bülent Ecevit University)

Abstract

This study investigates the dynamic connectedness among six key sectors in the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. By examining the interactions among Consumer Staples, Energy, Financials, Industrials, Information Technology, and Metals & Mining indices, the analysis highlights how sectoral connectedness evolves, particularly during periods of economic crisis. The results reveal that specific sectors act as net transmitters or receivers of shocks. Energy, Metals, & Mining are more sensitive to global commodity prices, while Consumer Staples maintain stability. This approach offers a comprehensive view of sectoral risk transmission and its implications for market stability and risk management. The findings provide critical insights for investors and policymakers aiming to mitigate systemic risks and enhance portfolio diversification in response to market fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Şerife Akıncı TOK, 2025. "Dynamic Connectedness among Australian Stock Market Sectors: A Time-Varying Parameter VAR Approach," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 9(1), pages 151-165, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bgo:journl:v:9:y:2025:i:1:p:151-165
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.1651020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repec.bingol.edu.tr/bgo/Dynamic-Connectedness-among-Australian-Stock-Market-Sectors-A-Time-Varying-Parameter-VAR-Approach.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.1651020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    3. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    4. Thomas J. Fisher & Colin M. Gallagher, 2012. "New Weighted Portmanteau Statistics for Time Series Goodness of Fit Testing," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(498), pages 777-787, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Gabauer, David & Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha, 2024. "Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time–frequency connectedness approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 121-139.
    2. Acikgoz, Turker, 2026. "Dynamic q-dependent cross-correlation test for investment classification and its application on green finance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Younis, Ijaz & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shah, Waheed Ullah & Tang, Xuan, 2025. "Inter- and intra-connectedness between energy, gold, Bitcoin, and Gulf cooperation council stock markets: New evidence from various financial crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    4. Tita, Anthanasius Fomum & French, Joseph J. & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Obalade, Adefemi, 2025. "Does the tail of finance wag the dog of the real economy? Dynamic connectedness of the stock market and business confidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    5. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Karim, Sitara, 2024. "Measuring the G20 stock market return transmission mechanism: Evidence from the R2 connectedness approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Wu, Feng-Lin & Wang, Yu-Shi & Wan, Yu-Fan & Wang, Ming-Hui, 2025. "Does investor attention drive cryptocurrency markets? Insights from network connectedness and portfolio applications," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    7. Cocca, Teodoro & Gabauer, David & Pomberger, Stefan, 2024. "Clean energy market connectedness and investment strategies: New evidence from DCC-GARCH R2 decomposed connectedness measures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    8. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Cagli, Efe C. & Taşkin, Dilvin & Tedik Kocakaya, Birce, 2025. "Quantile-on-quantile connectedness of uncertainty with fossil and green energy markets," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    9. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Koulmas, Pavlos & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Porcher, Thomas & Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N., 2025. "Green bonds & clean energy in sustainable finance: Evidence from DCC-GARCH connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2019. "Time Varying Spillovers between the Online Search Volume and Stock Returns: Case of CESEE Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-30, October.
    12. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Pirgaip, Burak & Arslan-Ayaydin, Özgür & Karan, Mehmet Baha, 2021. "Do Sukuk provide diversification benefits to conventional bond investors? Evidence from Turkey," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    14. Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso & Nogueira, David Coito, 2014. "Análise VAR dos índices bolsistas SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI e IBOVESPA [Integration of the indexes SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI and IBOVESPA: A VAR approach]," MPRA Paper 62092, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2015.
    15. Klaus Schredelseker, 2012. "Finanzkrise — Mitschuld der Theorie?," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 64(8), pages 833-845, December.
    16. Wang, Zongrun & Zhu, Huan & Mi, Yunlong, 2025. "Multidimensional risk contagions in commodity markets: A multi-layer information networks method," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Bouri, Elie & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Volatility connectedness of major cryptocurrencies: The role of investor happiness," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    18. Taufiq Choudhry & Ranadeva Jayasekera, 2015. "Level of efficiency in the UK equity market: empirical study of the effects of the global financial crisis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 213-242, February.
    19. Le, Trung H. & Pham, Linh & Do, Hung X., 2023. "Price risk transmissions in the water-energy-food nexus: Impacts of climate risks and portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    20. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Junttila, Juha, 2022. "Small fish in big ponds: Connections of green finance assets to commodity and sectoral stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bgo:journl:v:9:y:2025:i:1:p:151-165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Halim Tatli (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.