IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bas/econth/y2019i5p24-41,42-58.html

Tax structure and economic growth: empirical evidence from Bulgaria

Author

Listed:
  • Stoyan Tanchev

Abstract

The study analyses the tax structure of Bulgaria and its relation to economic growth for the period 2003 – 2015. The results reveal that Bulgarian budget revenue mainly depends on the taxes charged on consumption. It was found that in times of economic growth tax and non-tax revenues form the necessary fiscal resources in the budget while during a crisis the revenues are insufficient, which in turn leads to the formation of a budget deficit and a subsequent increase in government debt. There are statistical arguments in support of the notion that budget revenues are inversely related to economic growth and create conditions for its reduction. Government spending has a direct proportional relation to growth and results in its increase. The econometric estimates and the interpretation of the results are calculated with the use of a multiple linear regression with an included dummy variable (OLS with a dummy variable), the Two-Stage Least Squares method (TSLS) and the Vector Autoregressive model (VAR models).

Suggested Citation

  • Stoyan Tanchev, 2019. "Tax structure and economic growth: empirical evidence from Bulgaria," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 24-41,42-58.
    • Handle: RePEc:bas:econth:y:2019:i:5:p:24-41,42-58
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://etj.iki.bas.bg/storage/app/uploads/public/629/f18/a82/629f18a828f6b026812525.docx
    Download Restriction: Fee access (Bulgarian)
    File URL: https://etj.iki.bas.bg/storage/app/uploads/public/62f/765/30c/62f76530c78d2936816228.pdf
    Download Restriction: Fee access (English)
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lyudmil Naydenov, 2018. "Fiscal Rules and Sustainability of Bulgarian Public Finance - Legislative Aspects," Regional Economy and Sustainable Development, Conference Proceedings 2017, Research Institute, University of Economics - Varna, issue 2, pages 42-53, March.
    2. Martina Yakova, 2018. "Tax Structure Of Bulgaria," Entrepreneurship, Faculty of Economics, SOUTH-WEST UNIVERSITY "NEOFIT RILSKI", BLAGOEVGRAD, vol. 6(1), pages 118-131.
    3. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    4. Madsen, J & Damania, D, 1996. "The Macroeconomic Effects of a Switch from Direct to Indirect Taxes: An Empirical Assessment," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 43(5), pages 566-578, November.
    5. J. A. Mirrlees, 1971. "An Exploration in the Theory of Optimum Income Taxation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 38(2), pages 175-208.
    6. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    7. Lee, Young & Gordon, Roger H., 2005. "Tax structure and economic growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(5-6), pages 1027-1043, June.
    8. Poterba, James M & Rotemberg, Julio J & Summers, Lawrence H, 1986. "A Tax-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 659-675, September.
    9. Koester, Reinhard B & Kormendi, Roger C, 1989. "Taxation, Aggregate Activity and Economic Growth: Cross-Country Evidence on Some Supply-Side Hypotheses," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 27(3), pages 367-386, July.
    10. Jing Xing, 2011. "Does tax structure affect economic growth? Empirical evidence from OECD countries," Working Papers 1120, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation.
    11. Roshaiza Taha & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2008. "Causality Between Tax Revenue And Government Spending In Malaysia," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 2(2), pages 63-73.
    12. Eytan Sheshinski, 1972. "The Optimal Linear Income-tax," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 39(3), pages 297-302.
    13. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Audi, Marc & Ali, Amjad & Roussel, Yannick, 2021. "Measuring the Tax Buoyancy: Empirics from South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC)," MPRA Paper 109567, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Pavol Durana & Katarina Valaskova & Darina Chlebikova & Vladislav Krastev & Irina Atanasova, 2020. "Heads and Tails of Earnings Management: Quantitative Analysis in Emerging Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-21, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stoian Tanchev, 2016. "Consumer tax system of Bulgaria in terms of economic growth and crisis," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 85-105,106-.
    2. Emilian DOBRESCU, 2016. "Controversies over the Size of the Public Budget," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-34, December.
    3. Jorge Martinez-Vazquez & Violeta Vulovic & Yongzheng Liu, 2011. "Direct versus Indirect Taxation: Trends, Theory, and Economic Significance," Chapters, in: Emilio Albi & Jorge Martinez-Vazquez (ed.), The Elgar Guide to Tax Systems, chapter 2, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Jacobo Campo Robledo & Henry Antonio Mendoza Tolosa, 2014. "Gasto Público y Crecimiento Económico regional en Colombia (1984 - 2012)," Documentos de Trabajo 12425, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
    5. Jacobo Campo & Henry Mendoza, 2018. "Gasto público y crecimiento económico: un análisis regional para Colombia, 1984-2012," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 88, pages 77-108.
    6. Lach, Łukasz, 2010. "Fixed capital and long run economic growth: evidence from Poland," MPRA Paper 52280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Menescal, Lucas & Alves, José, 2024. "Optimal threshold taxation: An empirical investigation for developing economies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    8. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2017. "Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 319-336.
    9. Yobouet Thierry Bienvenu Gnangoin & Liangsheng Du & GuyRoland Assamoi & Akadje JeanRoland Edjoukou & Diby François Kassi, 2019. "Public Spending, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in Asian Countries: A Panel GMM Approach," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, November.
    10. Ciro Bazán & Víctor Josué Álvarez-Quiroz & Yennyfer Morales Olivares, 2022. "Wagner’s Law vs. Keynesian Hypothesis: Dynamic Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-25, August.
    11. Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger, 2006. "Teilstudie 12: Wachstumsimpulse durch die öffentliche Hand," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 27451.
    12. Andrew Phiri, 2016. "The Growth Trade-off between Direct and Indirect Taxes in South Africa: Evidence from a STR Model," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(3 (Fall)), pages 233-250.
    13. Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger, 2007. "WIFO-Weißbuch: Wachstumsimpulse durch die öffentliche Hand," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 80(6), pages 509-526, June.
    14. Kyle McNabb, 2016. "Tax structures and economic growth: New evidence from the Government Revenue Dataset," WIDER Working Paper Series 148, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    15. Kashif Munir & Maryam Sultan, 2018. "Are some taxes better for growth in Pakistan? A time series analysis," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(10), pages 1439-1452, August.
    16. Nicholas Apergis, 2015. "Labor Income Tax and Output in a Panel of Central and Eastern European Countries: A Long-Run Perspective," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-12, March.
    17. Tea Kasradze, 2020. "Challenges Facing Financial Inclusion Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic," European Journal of Marketing and Economics Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 3, ejme_v3_i.
    18. repec:rim:rimwps:22-06 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Dima Bogdan & Dima Ştefana Maria, 2017. "Does Corporate Tax Burden Affect Growth? Evidences from OECD Countries," Journal of Heterodox Economics, Sciendo, vol. 4(2), pages 51-80, December.
    20. Echevarría, Cruz A., 2012. "Income tax progressivity, physical capital, aggregate uncertainty and long-run growth in an OLG economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 955-974.
    21. Norman Gemmell & Richard Kneller & Ismael Sanz, 2016. "Does the Composition of Government Expenditure Matter for Long-Run GDP Levels?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(4), pages 522-547, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bas:econth:y:2019:i:5:p:24-41,42-58. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Diana Dimitrova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ikbasbg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.