IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aiy/jnjaer/v22y2023i2p381-403.html

The Resilience of Russia's Regions in the Conditions of Recovery Growth: Bouncing Forward or Bouncing Back?

Author

Listed:
  • Olga A. Chernova

Abstract

The recovery growth of regional economies after shocks can be expressed both in a return to the initial state and in a new development trajectory. Many researchers associate the direction of the movement caused by the shock with sectoral transformations, considering structural proportions in the economy as the main factor in regional resilience. This study aims to analyze the recovery growth trajectory of Russian regions in the post-pandemic period, as well as to find out whether shifts in the sectoral structure of their economies have affected it. The hypothesis of the study was the assumption that the vector of regional development is determined by the changes in the sectoral structure of the region that occurred during the crisis. Research methods included: analysis of the deviations of the actual values of GRP and employment indicators from their possible values, defined as a continuation of the trend of economic development in the pre-shock period; comparison of changes in the indicators of the economic development of regions with changes in the growth rates of individual sectors of the economy: industry, agriculture, construction, transport, trade and services. The results of the study showed significant differences in the speed and nature of recovery processes in Russia's regions. The vast majority of regions returned to the pre-shock trajectory of development. At the same time, some regions could not cope with the shocks of the corona crisis and saw their socio-economic situation worsen, while some showed a “leap forward” with higher development indicators. The author comes to the following conclusions: 1) sectoral transformations of the regional economy during the crisis are not decisive in determining the trajectory of the recovery movement and a “favorable” change in the sectoral structure can be neutralized by the influence of other factors; 2) the high vulnerability of the region's economy and its individual industries to shock events does not mean a longer period of recovery growth. From a practical point of view, this is important for understanding what aspects of sustainability may be relevant for the post-crisis recovery of the regional economy. The theoretical significance of the study is expressed in the expansion of ideas about the factors of regional resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Olga A. Chernova, 2023. "The Resilience of Russia's Regions in the Conditions of Recovery Growth: Bouncing Forward or Bouncing Back?," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(2), pages 381-403.
    • Handle: RePEc:aiy:jnjaer:v:22:y:2023:i:2:p:381-403
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2023.22.2.016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journalaer.ru/fileadmin/user_upload/site_15934/2023/07_CHernova.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/http://dx.doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2023.22.2.016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Duan, Wenqi & Madasi, Joseph David & Khurshid, Adnan & Ma, Dan, 2022. "Industrial structure conditions economic resilience," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    2. Ron Martin & Peter Sunley, 2015. "On the notion of regional economic resilience: conceptualization and explanation," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(1), pages 1-42.
    3. Balland, Pierre-Alexandre & Broekel, Tom & Diodato, Dario & Giuliani, Elisa & Hausmann, Ricardo & O'Clery, Neave & Rigby, David, 2022. "Reprint of The new paradigm of economic complexity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(8).
    4. Frank Neffke & Martin Henning & Ron Boschma, 2011. "How Do Regions Diversify over Time? Industry Relatedness and the Development of New Growth Paths in Regions," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 87(3), pages 237-265, July.
    5. Jesse Sutton & Godwin Arku, 2022. "Regional economic resilience: towards a system approach," Regional Studies, Regional Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 497-512, December.
    6. Balland, Pierre-Alexandre & Broekel, Tom & Diodato, Dario & Giuliani, Elisa & Hausmann, Ricardo & O'Clery, Neave & Rigby, David, 2022. "The new paradigm of economic complexity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(3).
    7. Ron Martin, 2012. "Regional economic resilience, hysteresis and recessionary shocks," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 1-32, January.
    8. Peter A.G. Bergeijk & Steven Brakman & Charles Marrewijk, 2017. "Heterogeneous economic resilience and the great recession's world trade collapse," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(1), pages 3-12, March.
    9. Mangirdas MORKUNAS & Artiom VOLKOV & Yuri BILAN & Agota Giedre RAIŠIENE, 2018. "The Role Of Government In Forming Agricultural Policy: Economic Resilience Measuring Index Exploited," REVISTA ADMINISTRATIE SI MANAGEMENT PUBLIC, Faculty of Administration and Public Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 2018(31), pages 111-131, December.
    10. Rezaei Soufi, Hojat & Esfahanipour, Akbar & Akbarpour Shirazi, Mohsen, 2022. "A quantitative approach for analysis of macroeconomic resilience due to socio-economic shocks," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Andy Pike & David Marlow & Anja McCarthy & Peter O’Brien & John Tomaney, 2015. "Editor's choice Local institutions and local economic development: the Local Enterprise Partnerships in England, 2010–," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 8(2), pages 185-204.
    12. Gillian Bristow & Adrian Healy, 2020. "Introduction to the Handbook on Regional Economic Resilience," Chapters, in: Gillian Bristow & Adrian Healy (ed.), Handbook on Regional Economic Resilience, chapter 1, pages 1-8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Di Tommaso, Marco R. & Prodi, Elena & Pollio, Chiara & Barbieri, Elisa, 2023. "Conceptualizing and measuring “industry resilience”: Composite indicators for postshock industrial policy decision-making," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    14. Hania Rahma & Akhmad Fauzi & Bambang Juanda & Bambang Widjojanto, 2019. "Development of a Composite Measure of Regional Sustainable Development in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-16, October.
    15. Xiaohui Hu & Chun Yang, 2019. "Institutional change and divergent economic resilience: Path development of two resource-depleted cities in China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 56(16), pages 3466-3485, December.
    16. James Simmie & Ron Martin, 2009. "The economic resilience of regions: towards an evolutionary approach," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 3(1), pages 27-43.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. M. Yu. Malkina, 2024. "Real Income Stress in Russian Regions Amid the Pandemic and Sanctions," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 109-125, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Azzam, Azzeddine & Gren, Ing-Marie & Andersson, Hans, 2023. "Comparative resilience of US and EU meat processing to the Covid19 pandemic," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    2. Hasan Engin Duran & Ugo Fratesi, 2023. "Economic resilience and regionally differentiated cycles: Evidence from a turning point approach in Italy," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(2), pages 219-252, April.
    3. Hyoji Choi & Frank Neffke & Donghyeon Yu & Bogang Jun, 2024. "Close to Home: Analyzing Urban Consumer Behavior and Consumption Space in Seoul," Papers 2407.20587, arXiv.org.
    4. Roberto Antonietti & Ron Boschma, 2021. "Social capital, resilience, and regional diversification in Italy [Social capital, innovation and growth: evidence from Europe]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(3), pages 762-777.
    5. Simone Daniotti & Matté Hartog & Frank Neffke, 2025. "The coherence of US cities," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 122(37), pages 2501504122-, September.
    6. Ilyes Boumahdi & Nouzha Zaoujal, 2026. "Smart Specialization: New Paths to Industrialization of the Moroccan Regions," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(2), pages 3463-3489, April.
    7. Francesco Molica & Francesco Cappellano & Teemu Makkonen, 2025. "Re-thinking Regional Innovation Systems in the age of de-globalization," Working Papers TIMES² 2025-080, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    8. Catherine Laffineur & Charlie Joyez & Raja Kali, 2023. "Occupational Coherence and the Geography of Unemployment," GREDEG Working Papers 2023-20, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, revised Jul 2025.
    9. Anna D’Ambrosio & Matteo Migheli, 2025. "Regional resilience through the lenses of the capability approach," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 833-853, November.
    10. Yuanxi Li, 2024. "Industrial variety, interregional industrial linkages, and regional resilience: evidence from China," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(3), pages 1321-1338, October.
    11. Stojkoski, Viktor & Lopez-Calva, Luis-Felipe & Bolch, Kimberly Blair & Fernandez,Almudena, 2024. "Development Acupuncture : The Network Structure of Multidimensional Poverty and Its Implications," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10882, The World Bank.
    12. Chang-Tai Lee & Jin-Li Hu & Ming-Hsin Kung, 2022. "Economic Resilience in the Early Stage of the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Across-Economy Comparison," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-25, April.
    13. Anne Otto & Sebastian Losacker & Hendrik Hansmeier, 2025. "Relatedness, complexity, and regional development paths in Germany: a sequencing approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(2), pages 1-26, June.
    14. Mattie Landman & Sanna Ojanperä & Stephen Kinsella & Neave O’Clery, 2023. "The role of relatedness and strategic linkages between domestic and MNE sectors in regional branching and resilience," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 515-559, April.
    15. Luciana Lazzeretti & Stefania Oliva & Niccolò Innocenti, 2019. "Exploring the role of industrial structure for regional economic resilience," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 1917, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised May 2019.
    16. Olena Khlystova & Yelena Kalyuzhnova, 2023. "The impact of the creative industries and digitalization on regional resilience and productive entrepreneurship," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 1654-1695, October.
    17. Julia Bachtrögler-Unger & Pierre-Alexandre Balland & Ron Boschma & Thomas Schwab, 2023. "Technological Capabilities and the Twin Transition in Europe. Opportunities for Regional Collaboration and Economic Cohesion," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 33926503.
    18. Vitor Klein Schmidt & Aurora Carneiro Zen & Bernardo Fernandes Soares & Bruno Anicet Bittencourt, 2023. "Trajectory and cluster resilience elements: The case of the Brazilian wine cluster of the Serra Gaúcha," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 596-624, June.
    19. Pierre-Alexandre Balland & David Rigby & Ron Boschma, 2015. "The technological resilience of US cities," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 8(2), pages 167-184.
    20. Milene Tessarin & Deyu Li & Sergio Petralia & Ron Boschma, 2023. "The future geography of industries and occupations," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2302, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Jan 2023.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aiy:jnjaer:v:22:y:2023:i:2:p:381-403. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Natalia Starodubets (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/seurfru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.