IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/wjagec/32634.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fabricated Cut Beef Prices As Leading Indicators Of Fed Cattle Price

Author

Listed:
  • Owen, C. Jane
  • Sporleder, Thomas L.
  • Bessler, David A.

Abstract

Temporal relationships are investigated among fabricated cut prices, carcass value, and fed cattle prices. Also, linkages between fed cattle and wholesale beef prices are examined using vector autoregressive (VAR) techniques. Results, using daily prices over the 1980-85 period, suggested that fabricated cut prices and cattle prices are related to the imputed carcass value, carcass quote, and fed cattle prices. In addition, three fabricated cuts dominate as leading indicators of fed cattle prices of most fabricated cut prices. They are strip loin and bottom and top round prices. VAR models outperform the univariate and random-walk models of forecasting ability.

Suggested Citation

  • Owen, C. Jane & Sporleder, Thomas L. & Bessler, David A., 1991. "Fabricated Cut Beef Prices As Leading Indicators Of Fed Cattle Price," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-7, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32634
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32634
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/32634/files/16010086.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.32634?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    2. Brorsen, B Wade & Chavas, Jean-Paul & Grant, Warren R, 1984. "Dynamic Relationships of Rice Import Prices in Europe," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 11(1), pages 29-42.
    3. Nerlove, Marc & Grether, David M. & Carvalho, José L., 1979. "Analysis of Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780125157506 edited by Shell, Karl.
    4. Bessler, David A. & Schrader, Lee F., 1980. "Measuring Leads And Lags Among Prices: Turkey Products," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 32(3), pages 1-7, July.
    5. Kling, John L. & Bessler, David A., 1985. "A comparison of multivariate forecasting procedures for economic time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 5-24.
    6. Hayenga, Marvin L. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1987. "Short-Term Vertical Market Price Interrelationships of Beef and Pork," Staff General Research Papers Archive 11311, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Diersen, Matthew A., 2002. "Gleaning Information From Mandatory Livestock Price Reporting," Economics Staff Papers 32017, South Dakota State University, Department of Economics.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2008. "How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37620, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Bessler, David A., 1985. "The Forecast In Risk Analysis," Regional Research Projects > 1985: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 24-27, 1985, Charleston, South Carolina 271795, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    3. Veeman, Michele M. & Veeman, Terrence S. & Dong, X.Y. & Sivasangaram, M., 1989. "Macro-Economic Influences on Alberta Agriculture," Project Report Series 232073, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    4. Ford, Stephen A., 1986. "A Beginner'S Guide To Vector Autoregression," Staff Papers 13527, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    5. Chen, Junyi & Kibriya, Shahriar & Bessler, David & Price, Edwin, 2015. "A Causal Exploration of Conflict Events and Commodity Prices of Sudan," MPRA Paper 62461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ehsan Ahmed & J. Rosser & Richard Sheehan, 1989. "A comparison of national and international aggregate supply and demand var models: The United States, Japan and the European economic community," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 125(2), pages 252-272, June.
    7. Williams, Christine H. & Bewley, Ronald A., 1993. "Price Arbitrage Between Queensland Cattle Auctions," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 37(1), pages 1-23, April.
    8. Bradshaw, Girard W. & Orden, David, 1988. "Time Series Models For Exchange Rate And Agricultural Price Forecasts," Regional Research Projects > 1988: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 20-23, 1988, Savannah, Georgia 272786, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    9. Grundmeier, Eric (Eric L.), 1989. "Formulation of a carcass cutout value: an alternative wholesale beef pricing method," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000017580, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Eckstein, Zvi, 1983. "They Dynamics of Agricultural Supply: A Reconsideration," Foerder Institute for Economic Research Working Papers 275374, Tel-Aviv University > Foerder Institute for Economic Research.
    11. Robert McNown & Andrei Rogers, 1989. "Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 26(4), pages 645-660, November.
    12. Babula, Ronald A. & Bessler, David A., 1990. "The Corn-Egg Price Transmission Mechanism," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 1-8, December.
    13. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    14. Veeman, Michele M. & Veeman, Terrence S. & Sivasangaram, M. & Dong, X.Y., 1989. "Macro-Economic Influences On Alberta Farmland Values," Project Report Series 232072, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    15. Chen, Junyi & Kibriya, Shahriar & Bessler, David A. & Price, Edwin C., 2015. "A Causal Exploration of Food Price Shocks and Conflict in Sudan," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 202612, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Kaylen, Michael S., 1986. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: Suggested Improvements," 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada 278167, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Xiaojie Xu, 2017. "Short-run price forecast performance of individual and composite models for 496 corn cash markets," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(14), pages 2593-2620, October.
    18. Diebold, F.X. & Kilian, L. & Nerlove, Marc, 2006. "Time Series Analysis," Working Papers 28556, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    19. Thomas C. Glaessner, 1982. "The modern theory of forward foreign exchange: some new consistent estimates under rational expectations," International Finance Discussion Papers 206, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Hansen, Lars Peter, 2013. "Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-7, Nobel Prize Committee.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32634. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/waeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.