IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/eeaeje/258727.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Causal Links among Saving, Investment and Growth and Determinants of Saving in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from Ethiopia

Author

Listed:
  • Worku Gebeyehu

Abstract

The relationship between saving, investment and GDP still remains an empirical issue. In their aspiration to catch up the rest of the world, developing countries provides a special place on this matter. This paper tried to investigate the main determinants of saving and the connection among saving, investment and GDP in the case of Ethiopia using a combination of time series models. The paper finds export, inflation and lag government expenditure to have a statistically significant short and long term impact on the saving rate. Growth of income has a positive effect on rate of saving and the impulse response function shows the relevance of the neoclassical growth model in explaining the relationship between the saving rate and growth of income albeit lack of statistically significant causality between saving and investment in either direction. Although they may not be conclusive, the results suggest a more conducive policy environment and measures to boost domestic saving so as to induce growth from inside

Suggested Citation

  • Worku Gebeyehu, 2011. "Causal Links among Saving, Investment and Growth and Determinants of Saving in Sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from Ethiopia," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 19(2), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eeaeje:258727
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.258727
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/258727/files/Worku%20Gebeyehu_Causal%20Links%20among%20Saving%2C%20Investment%20and%20Growth%20and%20Determinants%20of%20Saving%20in%20Sub-Saharan%20Africa.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.258727?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. Martin Browning & Thomas F. Crossley, 2001. "The Life-Cycle Model of Consumption and Saving," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 3-22, Summer.
    3. Easterly, William, 1994. "Economic stagnation, fixed factors, and policy thresholds," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-557, June.
    4. Athukorala, Prema-chandra & Sen, Kunal, 2004. "The Determinants of Private Saving in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 491-503, March.
    5. Michael Gavin & Ricardo Hausmann & Ernesto Talvi, 1997. "Saving Behavior in Latin America: Overview and Policy Issues," Research Department Publications 4070, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    6. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    7. Modigliani, Franco, 1986. "Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 297-313, June.
    8. Ira Saltz, 1999. "An examination of the causal relationship between savings and growth in the third world," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 23(1), pages 90-98, March.
    9. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Luis Servén, 2000. "What Drives Private Saving Across the World?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 165-181, May.
    10. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    11. Orazio P. Attanasio & Lucio Picci & Antonello E. Scorcu, 2000. "Saving, Growth, and Investment: A Macroeconomic Analysis Using a Panel of Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 182-211, May.
    12. Bacha, Edmar L., 1990. "A three-gap model of foreign transfers and the GDP growth rate in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 279-296, April.
    13. World Bank, 2006. "Global Development Finance 2006 : The Development Potential of Surging Capital Flows, Volume 2. Summary and Country Tables," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 8137.
    14. Michael Gavin & Ricardo Hausmann & Ernesto Talvi, 1997. "Saving Behavior in Latin America: Overview and Policy Issues," Research Department Publications 4070, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    15. Otani, Ichiro & Villanueva, Delano, 1990. "Long-term growth in developing countries and its determinants: An empirical analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 769-783, June.
    16. Levine, Ross & Renelt, David, 1992. "A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 942-963, September.
    17. Basil Moore, 2006. "Saving Is Never A Constraint On Investment1," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(1), pages 1-5, March.
    18. Worku, Gebeyehu, 2005. "Has Privatization promoted Efficiency in Ethiopia?: A comparative Analysis Of Privatized Industries vis-a vis State Owned and other private Industrial Establishments," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 9(2), pages 132-132, May.
    19. Loayza, Norman & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus & Serven, Luis, 2000. "What drives private saving around the world?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2309, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. -, 2007. "Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2006-2007," Estudio Económico de América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1065 edited by Eclac.
    2. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-411 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Chowdhury, Abdur, 2015. "Terms of trade shocks and private savings in the developing countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 1122-1134.
    4. Neha Jain & Srinivas Goli, 2022. "Demographic change and private savings in India," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 24(1), pages 1-29, June.
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nawaz, Kishwar & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2013. "On the validity of the Keynesian Absolute Income hypothesis in Pakistan: An ARDL bounds testing approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 290-296.
    6. Manuchehr Irandoust, 2017. "Saving behaviour under terms-of-trade uncertainty: evidence from hidden cointegration approach," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 135-150, May.
    7. Opoku, Richard Takyi & Ackah, Ishmael, 2015. "How responsive are private savings to changes in real interest rate in Ghana?," MPRA Paper 65040, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nawaz, Kishwer & AROURI, Mohamed El Hedi & Teulon, Frédéric, 2013. "Does The Keynesian Absolute Income Hypothesis Exist in Pakistan?," MPRA Paper 47923, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Jul 2013.
    9. Nola Reinhardt, "undated". "Saving Rates in Latin American: Why Reformers Got It Wrong," Working Papers 2007-01, Smith College, Department of Economics.
    10. Gutiérrez, Mario A., 2007. "Savings in Latin America after the mid 1990s: determinants, constraints and policies," Macroeconomía del Desarrollo 5424, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    11. Ricardo Bebczuk & Leonardo Gasparini & Noelia Garbero & Julian Amendolaggine, 2015. "Understanding the Determinants of Household Saving: Micro Evidence for Latin America," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0189, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    12. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Luis Servén, 2001. "Una Revisión del COmportamiento y de los determinantes del ahorro en el mundo," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Felipe Morandé & Rodrigo Vergara & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Edit (ed.),Análisis Empírico del Ahorro en Chile, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 13-48, Central Bank of Chile.
    13. Abdur R Chowdhury, 2004. "Private Savings in Transition Economies: Are there Terms of Trade Shocks?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 46(4), pages 487-514, December.
    14. Grigoli, Francesco & Herman, Alexander & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 2018. "Saving in the world," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 257-270.
    15. Thomas M. Steger, 2000. "Productive Consumption and Growth in Developing Countries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 365-375, October.
    16. Qazi-Muhammad Adnan Hye & Wee-Yeap Lau, 2018. "Does Financial and Trade Liberalization Drive Private Savings in Pakistan?," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(4), pages 198-212, December.
    17. Deodat E. Adenutsi, 2011. "Financial development, international migrant remittances and endogenous growth in Ghana," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 28(1), pages 68-89, March.
    18. repec:aru:wpaper:201510 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Mr. Philip R. Gerson, 1998. "The Impact of Fiscal Policy Variables on Output Growth," IMF Working Papers 1998/001, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Steger Thomas M., 2006. "Heterogeneous Consumption Goods, Sectoral Change, and Economic Growth," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, March.
    21. Piotr Misztal, 2011. "The Relationship Between Savings And Economic Growth In Countries With Different Level Of Economic Development," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 7(2), pages 17-29, August.
    22. Naeem AKRAM & Muhammad Irfan AKRAM, 2015. "Savings Behaviour In Muslim And Non-Muslim Countries In Context To The Interest Rate," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 25(2), pages 161-177.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Economics;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:eeaeje:258727. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eeaa2ea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.