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How responsive are private savings to changes in real interest rate in Ghana?

Author

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  • Opoku, Richard Takyi
  • Ackah, Ishmael

Abstract

This paper seeks to find out the effect of real interest rate on savings in using time series data from 1970-2013. In line with the objectives and using modern econometric techniques, the study estimates a generic savings model. The study also estimated a dynamic error-correction model following the Engle and Granger method to take care of the nonstationarity of the variables. The results of the study suggest that real interest rate exhibit both short-run and long-run significant positive effect on savings, making it a very important variable for savings mobilization in Ghana. The study recommends that financial policy makers in the country must work hard towards realistic interest rate specifically positive rate in real terms. The central bank authorities must also work hard to reduce inflation to probably single digit on consistent basis since real interest rate levels are affected by inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Opoku, Richard Takyi & Ackah, Ishmael, 2015. "How responsive are private savings to changes in real interest rate in Ghana?," MPRA Paper 65040, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65040
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65040/1/MPRA_paper_65040.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fry, Maxwell J., 1980. "Saving, investment, growth and the cost of financial repression," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 317-327, April.
    2. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    3. A P Thirlwall, 2002. "The Mobilization of Savings for Growth and Development in Developing Countries," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(1), pages 7-30, November.
    4. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Luis Servén, 2000. "What Drives Private Saving Across the World?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 165-181, May.
    5. Loayza, Norman & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus & Serven, Luis, 2000. "What drives private saving around the world?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2309, The World Bank.
    6. Deodat E. Adenutsi, 2011. "Financial development, international migrant remittances and endogenous growth in Ghana," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 28(1), pages 68-89, March.
    7. Giovannini, Alberto, 1983. "The interest elasticity of savings in developing countries: The existing evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 11(7), pages 601-607, July.
    8. Masao Ogaki & Jonathan D. Ostry & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1996. "Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(1), pages 38-71, March.
    9. Michael Gavin & Ricardo Hausmann & Ernesto Talvi, 1997. "Saving Behavior in Latin America: Overview and Policy Issues," Research Department Publications 4070, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    10. Fry, Maxwell J, 1978. "Money and Capital or Financial Deepening in Economic Development?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 464-475, November.
    11. Edwards, Sebastian, 1996. "Why are Latin America's savings rates so low? An international comparative analysis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 5-44, October.
    12. Giovannini, Alberto, 1985. "Saving and the real interest rate in LDCs," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2-3), pages 197-217, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Renáta Pitoňáková, 2018. "Private Sector Savings," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 1, pages 1-17, March.
    2. Moyo, Clement & Le Roux, Pierre, 2018. "Interest rate reforms and economic growth: the savings and investment channel," MPRA Paper 85297, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real Interest Rate; Financial Savings; Financial Repression; Income; Investment.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents

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