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Australia and the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Some Monetary Policy Options

Listed author(s):
  • Declan Trott

This paper argues that Australia needs a contingency plan for monetary policy when interest rates hit zero, and considers various options. Level targeting appears undesirable as a long-run policy due to the lack of an appropriate target variable - prices, wages and nominal GDP all being unsuitable - but may be useful as a temporary expedient. Other possibilities include a higher inflation target and temporary exchange rate targeting.

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File URL: http://press-files.anu.edu.au/downloads/press/p332753/pdf/analysis01.pdf
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Article provided by Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics in its journal Agenda - A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform.

Volume (Year): 22 (2015)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 5-20

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Handle: RePEc:acb:agenda:v:22:y:2015:i:1:p:5-20
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  1. Peter Tulip, 2014. "Fiscal Policy and the Inflation Target," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(2), pages 63-96, June.
  2. Paul R. Krugman, 1998. "It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 29(2), pages 137-206.
  3. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2003. "What Measure of Inflation Should a Central Bank Target?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1058-1086, 09.
  4. Givens, Gregory E., 2009. "Which price level to target? Strategic delegation in a sticky price and wage economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 685-698, December.
  5. Berg, Claes & Jonung, Lars, 1999. "Pioneering price level targeting: The Swedish experience 1931-1937," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 525-551, June.
  6. Lars E.O. Svensson, 2003. "Escaping from a Liquidity Trap and Deflation: The Foolproof Way and Others," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(4), pages 145-166, Fall.
  7. George A. Akerlof & William T. Dickens & George L. Perry, 2000. "Near-Rational Wage and Price Setting and the Long-Run Phillips Curve," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 31(1), pages 1-60.
  8. Mariano Kulish & Stephen Elias, 2013. "Direct effects of money on aggregate demand: another look at the evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(27), pages 3801-3809, September.
  9. Erceg, Christopher J. & Henderson, Dale W. & Levin, Andrew T., 2000. "Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-313, October.
  10. Donald Coletti & René Lalonde & Paul Masson & Dirk Muir & Stephen Snudden, 2012. "Commodities and Monetary Policy: Implications for Inflation and Price Level Targeting," Staff Working Papers 12-16, Bank of Canada.
  11. Jones, Callum & Kulish, Mariano, 2013. "Long-term interest rates, risk premia and unconventional monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2547-2561.
  12. Sumner, Scott, 1993. "Colonial Currency and the Quantity Theory of Money: A Critique of Smith's Interpretation," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(01), pages 139-145, March.
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