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Content
2014, Issue 33
- 15-19 Clickstream Analysis for Forecasting Online Behavior
by Ram Ganeshan - 26-31 Forecast Quality in the Supply Chain
by Steve Morlidge - 32-34 The Bet between Paul Ehrlich and Julian Simon over Earth?s Future
by Ira Sohn - 35-37 Predictive Business Analytics: Forward-Looking Capabilities to Improve Business Performance by Lawrence S. Maisel and Gary Cokins
by S. McKay Curtis - 38-40 The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting by Alan Greenspan
by Geoff Allen
2014, Issue 32
- 5-11 Critical Skills for the Business Forecaster
by Sujit Singh - 13-18 Forecasting ÒIn the PocketÓ: Mobile Devices Can Improve Collaboration
by Stavros Asimakopoulos & George P. Boretos, & Constantinos Mourlas - 26-33 Regression Modeling for Business Forecasting
by Geoff Allen - 34-39 Do Forecasting Methods Reduce Avoidable Error? Evidence from Forecasting Competitions
by Steve Morlidge - 40-42 The Beauty of Forecasting
by David Orrell - 43-48 Energy Forecasting: Past, Present, and Future
by Tao Hong
2013, Issue 31
- 1-28 Forecaster in the Field
by Editor - 6-13 Supply Chain Forecasting & Planning: Move On from Microsoft Excel?
by Sujit Singh - 14-20 Forecasting with In-Memory Technology
by Tim Januschowski & Stephan Kolassa & Martin Lorenz & Christian Schwarz - 21-27 The Future of Financial Market Forecasting: Five Trends Worth Watching
by Jeffrey Mishlove - 35-37 Demand and Supply Integration: The Key to World-Class Demand Forecasting by Mark A. Moon
by John Mello - 38-40 Keeping Up with the Quants: Your Guide to Understanding + Using Analytics by Thomas H. Davenport and Jinho Kim
by John Pope - 41-44 Using Process Behaviour Charts to Improve Forecasting and Decision Making
by Martin Joseph & Alec Finney - 49-52 New Directions in Managing the Forecasting Process
by Chris Gray
2013, Issue 30
- 5-11 How Good Is a "Good" Forecast?: Forecast Errors and Their Avoidability
by Steve Morlidge - 12-15 Is Success a Result of Skill or Luck?
by Roy Batchelor - 16-19 Tracking and Improving Our Performance in the Skill-Luck Continuum
by Sean Schubert - 28-33 ARIMA: The Models of Box and Jenkins
by Eric Stellwagen & Len Tashman - 34-37 Come Rain or Shine: Better Forecasts for All Seasons
by Paul Goodwin - 38-41 Forecasting Consumer Purchases Using Google Trends
by Torsten Schmidt & Simeon Vosen - 42-44 Book review of Supply Chain Forecasting Software, by Shaun Snapp
by Jim Hoover
2013, Issue 29
- 5-13 Forecasting Revenue in Professional Service Companies
by Kevin Foley - 14-18 FVA: A Reality Check on Forecasting Practices
by Mike Gilliland - 19-25 S&OP and Financial Planning
by John Dougherty & Chris Gray - 26-31 Collaborative Forecasting: Beyond S&OP
by John Mello - 38-42 Rare Events: Limiting Their Damage Through Advances in Modeling
by Gloria Gonz‡lez-Rivera - 43-44 Practical Time Series Forecasting: A Hands-On Guide, 2nd edition By Galit Shmueli
by Tom Willemain - 45-48 Megatrends and Game Changers: The U.S. National Intelligence CouncilÕs ÒGlobal Trends 2030: Alternative WorldsÓ
by Ira Sohn
2013, Issue 28
- 1-43 Interview with Jason Boorman
by Foresight Staff - 5-11 Forecasting to Meet Demand
by Roland Martin & Stephan Kolassa - 12-18 How to Separate Risk from Uncertainty in Strategic Forecasting
by Christian SchŠfer - 19-22 Fostering Communication That Builds Trust
by Joe Smith & Simon Clarke - 30-36 The Role of S&OP in a Sluggish Economy
by Jane B. Lee - 37-42 S&OP: Five Steps to Gaining Necessary and Appropriate Buy-In
by Jason Boorman - 44-49 GIS: The Missing Tool for Supply-Chain Design
by Jeff Greer - 50-51 Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote
by Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong, & Randall J. Jones & Alfred G. Cuz‡n - 52-54 Nate SilverÕs The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail Ð But Some DonÕt
by David Orrell
2012, Issue 27
- 5-9 Why Should I Trust Your Forecasts?
by M. Sinan Gönül & Dilek Önkal & Paul Goodwin - 10-11 It's About the Quality of Interaction
by Lauge Valentin, - 12-13 The Forecaster's Capability and Empowerment
by John Parks - 14-15 Trust in Forecasting, and the Myth of Neutrality
by John P. Unger - 16-17 The View Across the Supply Chain
by Ram Ganeshan - 23-28 Exponential Smoothing: The Workhorse of Business Forecasting
by Eric Stellwagen - 29-34 S&OP Principles: The Foundation for Success
by Robert A. Stahl & Thomas F. Wallace - 35-39 Executive S&OP Implementation – Do It Right
by Amy Mansfield - 40-45 Two Notable New Forecasting Texts: Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord & Robert Fildes Forecasting: Principles and Practice by Rob Hyndman & George Athanasopoulos
by Stephan Kolassa
2012, Issue 26
- 1-16 Interview of Sean Schubert
by Foresight Staff - 7-15 Forecastability: A New Method for Benchmarking and Driving Improvement
by Sean Schubert - 17-19 The Forecasting Meeting: Questions from On High
by Alec Finney - 20-26 The Application of Product-Group Seasonal Indexes to Individual Products
by Maryam Mohammadipour & John Boylan & Aris Syntetos - 27-28 Hemlines and the Economy: Which Goes Down First?
by Marjolein van Baardwijk & Philip Hans Franses - 34-39 Forecasting Software: Improving the User Experience
by Stavros Asimakopoulos - 40-42 Book review of Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler’s Abundance: The Future Is Better Than You Think
by Ira Sohn - 43-46 Reliable Forecasts of the 2012 Presidential Election
by Randy Jones - 47-48 Does Obama Keep the Keys to the White House?
by Allan Lichtman
2012, Issue 25
- 7-9 Book Review of Thinking Fast and Slow, by Daniel Kahneman
by Paul Goodwin - 10-15 Guiding Principles for the Forecasting Support System
by Robert Fildes & Paul Goodwin - 16-20 Our Best Worst Forecasting Mistakes
by Joe Smith & Simon Clarke - 26-30 Good Patterns, Bad Patterns
by Roy Batchelor - 31-34 Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor
by J. Scott Armstrong - 35-37 Designing the Forecasting Process to Manage Bias: Commentary on the Guiding Principles
by Rogelio Oliva & Noel Watson - 38-41 Executive S&OP: Overcoming the “Catch-22” of Implementation
by Robert A. Stahl & Joseph F. Shedlawski - 42-44 Forecasting for Fun Outside Your Cubicle
by Roy L. Pearson
2012, Issue 24
- 1-39 Elaboration on the Behavioral Principles
by John Mello - 1-46 Outrageous Fortunes: How Daniel Altman Sees the Future of the Global Economy
by Len Tashman - 5-6 A CEO’S Perspective on S&OP and Forecasting: An Interview with Phil Dolci
by Staff - 7-12 Stream Analytics for Forecasting
by Patrick McSharry - 13-14 The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
by Andreas Graefe & Randy Jones & Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzán - 15-18 Does a Presidential Candidate’s Campaign Affect the Election Outcome?
by Richard Nadeau & Michael S. Lewis-Beck - 19-24 Forecasting Rounds of Golf
by Scott Parrott & John Stamey & Timothy Burcham - 30-31 The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles, Preview to the Commentaries
by Len Tashman - 32-34 There are More Fundamental Issues
by Michael Gilliland - 35-36 A Practical Handbook on Best Practice
by Alec Finney - 37-38 Elaboration on the Foundation Principles
by Mark A. Moon - 40-41 Foundation Principles for Supply Chain Partners
by Ram Ganeshan - 42-43 The Morlidge Guiding Principles vs. Armstrong's Principles of Forecasting
by Peter Catt - 44-45 Guiding Principles: Reply to Commentaries
by Steve Morlidge
2011, Issue 23
- 5-9 The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles Part 2
by Steve Morlidge - 10-12 High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem?
by Paul Goodwin - 13-15 The Senior Managers' Monthly Forecasting Report
by Alec Finney - 16-20 A “Softer” Approach to the Measurement of Forecast Accuracy
by John Boylan - 21-27 Percentage Errors Can Ruin Your Day (and Rolling the Dice Shows How)
by Stephan Kolassa & Roland Martin - 34-36 Book Reviews of Scenario Planning in Organizations, by Tom Chermack and Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future, by George Wright and George Cairns
by Adam Gordon - 37-42 Forecasting with Structural Models and VARs: Relative Advantages and the Client Connection
by Dan Hamilton - 43-46 Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”
by Andreas Graefe - 46-47 Reply to Foresight Article “Trough of Disillusionment” by Andreas Graefe
by Robert Rieg & Ramona Schoder
2011, Issue 22
- 5-12 The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles
by Steve Morlidge - 13-19 Using the International Futures Global Modeling System (Ifs) for Alternative Scenarios by the Numbers
by Roy Pearson - 20-26 Executive S&OP and the Cycle of Resolution: Resolving Conflict to Align Human Energy
by Robert A. Stahl & Stewart Levine, J.D. - 33-36 Forecasting Tools: Have They Upgraded the Forecasting Process?
by Joe Smith & Simon Clarke - 37-40 The World in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization’s Northern Future
by Ira Sohn - 41-46 A Forecasting Support System for Temperature-Controlled Transport
by Wilfried Despagne
2011, Issue 21
- 1-45 Commentary on Forecast Error vs. Forecast Accuracy
by Jim Hoover - 1-46 Commentary on Forecast Error vs. Forecast Accuracy
by Mark Little - 5-6 Review of Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error
by Marcus O’Connor - 7-9 Projecting Success: Don't Forget the Base Rate
by Paul Goodwin - 10-15 Accuracy versus Profitability
by Roy Batchelor - 16-22 Forecasting Exceptional Demand: Not the Same as Forecasting Ordinary Demand
by Wilpen L. Gorr - 30-34 Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right: A Case Study
by Alec Finney & Martin Joseph & Hannah Kurth - 35-40 Corporate Prediction Markets: Pitfalls and Barriers
by Robert Rieg & Ramona Schoder - 41-44 Predicting the Results of the 2010 Midterm Elections: Judgment, Econometrics, and Prediction Markets
by Alfred G. Cuzán
2011, Issue 20
- 4-7 Who Should Own the Business Forecasting Function?
by Joe Smith & Simon Clarke - 8-9 Commentaries on Foresight article by Joe Smith and Simon Clarke, Who Should Own the Business Forecasting Function?
by Tom Ross & Rob Dhuyvetter - 10-11 Book Review of This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly
by David Orrell - 12-17 Classification for Forecasting and Inventory
by Aris Syntetos & John Boylan & Ruud Teunter - 24-28 Forecasting Future Technology
by Roy L. Pearson - 29-36 Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right
by Alec Finney & Martin Joseph - 37-42 How S&OP Changes Corporate Culture: Results from Interviews with Seven Companies
by John E. Mello & Robert A. Stahl
2010, Issue 19
- 1-8 Forecaster in the Field
by Foresight Staff - 5-7 Book Review of “The Business Forecasting Deal: Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions” by Michael Gilliland
by Ulrich Küsters - 9-15 The Boundaries of Quantitative Forecasting Methods: Respecting the Limits of Determinism
by Adam Gordon - 16-17 Commentary: In Some Ways the Situation Is Even Worse
by David Orrell - 18-19 Commentary: The View from a Quantitative Forecaster
by Geoff Allen - 20-21 Commentary: The Limitations of Quant Models--Compared to What?
by Mark Little - 30-33 The Holt-Winters Approach to Exponential Smoothing: 50 Years Old and Going Strong
by Paul Goodwin - 34-38 Executive S&OP: Managing to Achieve Consensus
by Robert A. Stahl - 39-43 Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?
by Andreas Graefe - 44-46 Energy Forecasts to 2035: A Review of the 2010 Energy Outlook Report of the U.S. Department of Energy
by Ira Sohn
2010, Issue 18
- 4-8 Defining "Demand" for Demand Forecasting
by Mike Gilliland - 9-13 Choosing Levels of Aggregation for Supply Chain Forecasts
by John Boylan - 14-18 The Value of Forecast Information Sharing in Supply Chains
by Mohammad M. Ali & John E. Boylan - 27-32 Worst-Case Scenarios in Forecasting: How Bad Can Things Get?
by Roy Batchelor - 33-37 The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2010
by Allan J. Lichtman - 38-42 Looking Under the Hood of That Trend
by Roy Pearson - 43-45 Book Review of The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050, by Joel Kotkin
by Ira Sohn
2010, Issue 17
- 1-50 Forecaster in the Field
by Foresight Staff - 5-7 Why Hindsight Can Damage Foresight
by Paul Goodwin - 8-12 Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development
by Andreas Graefe - 13-18 A DEFT Approach to Trend-Based Foresight
by Adam Gordon - 19-23 Free Open-Source Forecasting Using R
by Stephan Kolassa & Rob J. Hyndman - 32-36 Resolving a Family Feud: Market-Facing versus Lean Manufacturing Families
by Robert A. Stahl & William Kerber - 37-44 Forecast Process Design, Part 3: Change Management and the Forecasting Challenge
by Joe Smith - 45-49 Book Review
by Carolyn I. Allmon
2010, Issue 16
- 1-50 Forecaster in the Fieldthe Field
by Foresight Interview - 4-11 Using Forecasting to Steer the Business: Six Principles
by Steve Morlidge - 12-15 A Baker’s Dozen Free Sources of Economic Forecasts
by Roy Pearson - 16-23 Forecast Process Design: Part 2, The Forecast Reliability Assurance Model (FRAM)
by Joe Smith - 32-39 Assessing Uncertainty in New-Product Forecasts
by Nick Guthrie & Des Markland - 40-45 How V&M Star Converts Family Forecasts Into Resource Requirements With Executive S&OP
by Robert A. Stahl & Amy Mansfield - 46-49 Corporate Culture and S&Op: Why Culture Counts
by John Mello
2009, Issue 15
- 1-47 Forecasters in the Field
by Staff Interviewer - 5-7 Book Review of Animal Spirits
by Roy Batchelor - 8-11 Taking Stock: Assessing the True Cost of Forecast Errors
by Paul Goodwin - 12-18 The Alignment of People, Process, and Tools, Part 1
by Joe Smith - 19-21 "People, Process, then Tools"-But What if the People and Toolset are Frozen?
by Ian Watson-Jones - 22-24 The Alignment of People, Process, and Tools: A Commentary
by Mark A. Moon - 25-31 How Jarden Branded Consumables Made Forecasting Simpler and Better Through Executive S&OP
by Robert A. Stahl & Brad McCollum - 32-36 Can Managers Judgmental Forecasts Be Made Scientifically?
by Philip Hans Franses - 37-41 Case Study: Forecasting the Productivity of Professional Services
by Tonya Boone & Ram Ganeshan & Robert L. Hicks - 42-44 Using Excel to Forecast: A review of two recent How-To Books
by Rick Hesse
2009, Issue 14
- 1-39 Reply to Commentaries
by David Orrell & Patrick McSharry - 1-51 Forecaster in the Field
by Staff - 5-8 Book Review of The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
by Peter Sephton - 9-11 Fast and Easy Access to Monthly Forecasts
by Roy Pearson - 12-16 Simpler, Better, and Needed More than Ever
by Robert A. Stahl - 17-23 How to Track Forecast Accuracy to Guide Forecast Process Improvement
by Jim Hoover - 25-30 A Systems Approach to Forecasting
by David Orrell & Patrick McSharry - 31-34 Why Do We Need Complexification? A Commentary on “Rethinking the Ways We Forecast”
by Roy Batchelor - 35-38 Commentary on “Rethinking the Ways We Forecast”
by Paul Goodwin & Robert Fildes - 40-47 Spare-Parts Forecasting: A Case Study at Hewlett-Packard
by Jerry Z. Shan & Julie Ward & Shelen Jain & Jose Beltran & Feridoun Amirjalayer & Young-Wook Kim - 48-50 Sparklines: The Tom Thumb of Statistical Graphs
by Tom Yokum
2009, Issue 13
- 4-6 Review of Adam Gordon’s Book Future Savvy: Identifying Trends to Make Better Decisions, Manage Uncertainty, and Profit from Change
by David Orrell - 7-12 Forecasting Sharp Changes
by Roy Batchelor - 13-22 The Impact of Sales Forecast Game Playing on Supply Chains
by John Mello - 24-33 Forecastability: Insights from Physics, Graphical Decomposition, and Information Theory
by Peter M. Catt - 34-40 Toward a More Precise Definition of Forecastability
by John Boylan - 41-45 How to Assess Forecastability
by Stephan Kolassa - 46-50 The U.S. National Intelligence Council’s “Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World”
by Ira Sohn
2009, Issue 12
- 1-43 Forecasting Performance of Regression Models in the 2008 Presidential Election
by Randall J. Jones, Jr. & Alfred G. Cuzán - 5-13 The Forecasting Mantra: A Holistic Approach to Forecasting and Planning
by Alec Finney & Martin Joseph - 14-20 Sales Forecasting: Improving Cooperation Between the Demand People and the Supply People
by Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl - 21-22 Sales & Operations Planning - Best Practices: Lessons Learned From Worldwide Companies
by John Mello - 23-25 Sales & Operations Planning - Best Practices: Lessons Learned From Worldwide Companies
by Joseph McConnell - 26-32 Predicting Recessions: A Regression (Probit) Model Approach
by Peter Sephton - 33-35 New Evidence on the Value of Combining Forecasts
by Paul Goodwin - 36-40 Percentage Error: What Denominator?
by Kesten Geeen & Len Tashman - 41-42 Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote
by Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred G. Cuzán & Randall J. Jones, Jr.
2008, Issue 11
- 4-5 Book Review of Super Crunchers by Ian Ayres
by Roy Batchelor - 6-14 Can We Obtain Valid Benchmarks from Published Surveys of Forecast Accuracy?
by Stephen Kolassa - 15-20 Measuring Improvement in Forecast Accuracy: A Case Study
by Robert Rieg - 21-23 Commentary on Benchmarking
by Teresa McCarthy & Donna Davis & Susan Golicic & John Mentzer - 24-25 Commentary on Benchmarking
by Jim Hoover - 26-36 Overcoming Challenges in Operational Forecasting Projects
by Ian Watson-Jones - 37-40 Commentaries on Overcoming Challenges in Operational Forecasting Projects
by Patrick Wader & Mark A. Moon - 41-42 Regression Model Forecasts of the U. S. Presidential Election
by Randall Jones, Jr. & Alfred Cuzan - 43-49 Software Review of Forecast Pro Unlimited: An Off-the-Shelf Solution for Large-Volume Forecasting
by Ulrich Kusters & Janko Thyson
2008, Issue 10
- 5-7 The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction
by Paul Fields - 9-14 Looking at Tomorrow Today: The What, Why, and How of Futuring for Forecasters
by Roy Pearson - 15-22 Lessons Learned: Reflections from 25 Years as a Forecasting Consultant
by Antonio García-Ferrer - 23-27 Life-Cycle Forecasting for New Products: The HP Approach to Forecasting Printer Demand
by Jerry Shan & Matthew Reimann & Fereydoon Safai - 29-34 Forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections: A Brief Review
by Randall J. Jones, Jr. & Alfred G. Cuzán - 35-37 A Quick Tour of Tourism Forecasting
by Paul Goodwin - 38-40 Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F?
by Kesten Green & Len Tashman