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A DEFT Approach to Trend-Based Foresight

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  • Adam Gordon

Abstract

Trend projection is a critical element of most forecasting models. Automatic forecasting methods typically glean trends from past data and extrapolate these trends forward, but do so without consideration of the forces that nurture the trend – and that eventually may turn on it. Adam Gordon’s DEFT framework helps you probe behind the trend to identify the underlying Drivers, Enablers, Friction, and Turners. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Gordon, 2010. "A DEFT Approach to Trend-Based Foresight," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 17, pages 13-18, Spring.
    • Handle: RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2010:i:17:p:13-18
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    Cited by:

    1. Florian Ahlmeyer & Kati Volgmann, 2023. "What Can We Expect for the Development of Rural Areas in Europe?—Trends of the Last Decade and Their Opportunities for Rural Regeneration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-17, March.

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