Do Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings Contribute to Financial Contagion in Emerging Market Crises?
AbstractCredit rating changes for long-term foreign currency debt may act as a wake-up call with up-grades and downgrades in one country affecting other financial markets within and across national borders. Such a potential (contagious) rating effect is likely to be stronger in emerg-ing market economies, where institutional investors problems of asymmetric information are more present. This empirical study complements earlier research by explicitly examining cross-security and cross-country contagious rating effects of credit rating agencies sovereign risk assessments. In particular, the specific impact of sovereign rating changes during the fi-nancial turmoil in emerging markets in the latter half of the 1990s has been examined. The results indicate that sovereign rating changes in a ground-zero country have a (statistically) significant impact on the financial markets of other emerging market economies although the spillover effects tend to be regional. --
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Date of creation: 2003
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Sovereign Risk; Credit Ratings; Financial Contagion;
Other versions of this item:
- Roman Kraeussl, . "Do Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings Contribute to Financial Contagion in Emerging Market Crises?," Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics 0314, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
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