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Monetary Policy Dynamics in Large Oil-Dependent Economies

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Author Info
Wohltmann, Hans-Werner
Winkler, Roland
Abstract

The paper analyzes the impacts of anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies on two large open economies that are dependent upon raw materials imports from a small third country. The analysis is based on asymmetric behavior on the supply side of both economies and an endogenous commod- ity pricing equation of Phillips' curve type. It is shown that an increase in the growth rate of domestic money supply is not neutral in the long run but induces contractionary output effects in both economies. The paper also dis- cusses the impacts of monetary policy rules that either reduce the in°ationary or contractionary output effects of commodity price shocks.

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Paper provided by Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics in its series Economics working papers with number 2005,17.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:cauewp:3834

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Web page: http://www.wiso.uni-kiel.de/econ/

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary Policy Oil Price Shocks International Policy Coordination

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization
F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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  1. Bennett T. McCallum, 2001. "Should Monetary Policy Respond Strongly to Output Gaps?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 258-262, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Buiter, Willem H. & Miller, Marcus, 1982. "Real exchange rate overshooting and the output cost of bringing down inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 85-123. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1995. "Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux," CEPR Discussion Papers 1131, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Aoki, Masanao, 1975. "On a Generalization of Tinbergen's Condition in the Theory of Policy to Dynamic Models," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(2), pages 293-96, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bhandari, Jagdeep S., 1981. "The simple macroeconomics of an oil-dependent economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 333-354. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Turnovsky, Stephen J, 1986. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Perfect Foresight: A Symmetric Two-country Analysis," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 53(210), pages 139-57, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Bhandari, Jagdeep S. & Turnovsky, Stephen J., 1984. "Materials price increases and aggregate adjustment in an open economy : A Stochastic Approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 151-182, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. van der Ploeg, Frederick, 1987. "International Interdependence and Policy Coordination in Economies with Real and Nominal Wage Rigidity," CEPR Discussion Papers 217, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Manasse, Paolo, 1991. "Fiscal Policy in Europe: The Credibility Implications of Real Wage Rigidity," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 43(2), pages 321-39, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Clausen, Volker & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2005. "Monetary and fiscal policy dynamics in an asymmetric monetary union," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 139-167, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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