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House Prices, Housing Development Costs, and the Supply of New Single-Family Housing in German Counties and Cities

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  • Oliver Lerbs

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Abstract

This paper employs panel data on 413 counties and cities over 2004-2009 to investigate the local supply of new single-family housing in Germany. Construction activity in local housing markets (measured by new housing permits related to the local housing stock) is modeled as a function of local home prices and new housing development costs, with the latter including local costs related to construction and local costs of vacant land. The results suggest the permit rate in a location to be positively linked to higher local home price levels and recent increases in development costs, while higher levels of replacement costs dampen construction activity. The average price elasticity of new single-family home permits is considerably less than one, supporting recently published estimates based on national time-series data.

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Paper provided by European Regional Science Association in its series ERSA conference papers with number ersa12p258.

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Date of creation: Oct 2012
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Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa12p258

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Cited by:
  1. Gnagey, Matthew, 2012. "Heterogeneous Developers, Spatial Interactions, and Land Development Outcomes under Uncertainty," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 124932, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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