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Auswirkungen der Finanz- und Schuldenkrise auf den deutschen Eigenheimsektor

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  • Oliver Lerbs
  • Christian Oberst
  • Michael Jorch

Abstract

Die Auswirkungen der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf den Markt für selbst-genutzte Wohnimmobilien in Deutschland sind bislang kaum untersucht. Dieser Beitrag analysiert die in Folge der Krise auf dem deutschen Eigenheimmarkt stattfindenden Anpassungsmechanismen innerhalb eines theoretischen Modells und leitete Aussagen darüber ab, wie die wichtigsten Marktgrößen durch die Krise beeinflusst werden. Um die Aussagekraft der auf Basis des Modells getroffenen qualitativen Erkenntnisse zu überprüfen, werden die Modellaussagen der tatsächlichen aktuellen Entwicklung ausgewählter Wohnungsmarktindikatoren gegenübergestellt. Wie sich zeigt, ist die Finanzkrise nicht notwendigerweise mit negativen Auswirkungen auf den deutschen Ei-genheimsektor verbunden. Von Seiten des Kredit-, des Immobilienkapital- und des Neubaumarkts gehen Impulse aus, die die durch sinkende Einkommen und steigende Arbeitslosigkeit bedingte negative Beeinflussung der Nachfrage nach selbstgenutztem Wohnraum zumindest teilweise kompensieren.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute of Spatial and Housing Economics, Munster Universitary in its series Working Papers with number 201033.

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Handle: RePEc:muc:wpaper:201033

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Keywords: Wohnungsmarkt; Finanzkrise; Makromodell;

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References

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  1. Otto, Alkis Henri, 2009. "Die Auswirkungen der Finanzkrise auf die deutschen Wohnimmobilienmärkte," HWWI Policy Papers 1-22, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
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Cited by:
  1. Lerbs, Oliver W., 2012. "House prices, housing development costs, and the supply of new single-family housing in German counties and cities," CAWM Discussion Papers 57, Center of Applied Economic Research Münster (CAWM), University of Münster.
  2. Oliver Lerbs, . "House Prices, Housing Development Costs, and the Supply of New Single-Family Housing in German Counties and Cities," Working Papers 201283, Institute of Spatial and Housing Economics, Munster Universitary.
  3. Oliver Lerbs, 2012. "House Prices, Housing Development Costs, and the Supply of New Single-Family Housing in German Counties and Cities," ERSA conference papers ersa12p258, European Regional Science Association.

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