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The Asian Crisis and Australia-East Asia Trade Flows: A Modified Gravity Approach

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  • Pemasiri J Gunawardana

    (Victoria University of Technology)

  • Ramya Hewarathna

    ()
    (School of Economics, La Trobe University)

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    Abstract

    This paper analyses the determinants of Australia-East Asia trade flows, examines the impact of the Asian crisis on such trade flows, and explores the potential for further expansion of trade flows between Australia and East Asia. The analysis is based on modified gravity trade models. Separate models are estimated for Australias merchandise exports to and merchandise imports from nine East Asian countries, using pooled data for the period 1979-98.

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    File URL: http://www.latrobe.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/130869/2000.13.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2000.13.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by School of Economics, La Trobe University in its series Working Papers with number 2000.13.

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    Length: 35 pages
    Date of creation: Oct 2000
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:trb:wpaper:2000.13

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    Web page: http://www.latrobe.edu.au/economics
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    Related research

    Keywords: Asian crisis; Australia; East Asia; exports; gravity model; imports.;

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    1. Prema-chandra Athukorala & Peter G. Warr, 2002. "Vulnerability to a Currency Crisis: Lessons from the Asian Experience," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 33-57, 01.
    2. Laszlo Matyas, 1997. "Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 363-368, 05.
    3. Matyas, L. & Konya, L. & Harris, M.N., 1997. "Modelling Export Activity in a Multicountry Economic Area : The APEC Case," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 1/97, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    4. Krueger, A., 1998. "Implications of the Asian Currency Crisis and the Debt Crisis of the 1980s," Papers, Tasmania - Department of Economics 3, Tasmania - Department of Economics.
    5. Frankel, Jeffrey & Stein, Ernesto & Wei, Shang-jin, 1995. "Trading blocs and the Americas: The natural, the unnatural, and the super-natural," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 61-95, June.
    6. Hansen, Paul & King, Alan, 1998. "Health care expenditure and GDP: panel data unit root test results--comment," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 377-381, June.
    7. Tavlas, George S, 2000. "On the Exchange Rate as a Nominal Anchor: The Rise and Fall of the Credibility Hypothesis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 76(233), pages 183-201, June.
    8. Garnaut, Ross, 1994. "The Floating Dollar and the Australian Structural Transition: Some Asia Pacific Context," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 70(208), pages 80-96, March.
    9. McCoskey, Suzanne K. & Selden, Thomas M., 1998. "Health care expenditures and GDP: panel data unit root test results," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 369-376, June.
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