László Mátyás (Central European University, Hungary, Budapest University of Economics, Hungary) László Kónya (Victoria University, Australia) Mark N. Harris (Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne and Central European University, Hungary)
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The gravity model has long been used for modelling and predicting trade flows. This paper generalises the gravity model allowing for proper representation of local and target country effects and also the business cycle. The new approach is based on a panel data framework (instead of a simple cross sectional or time series approach) where the additional information available from using both types of dat a (i. e. cross sectional and time series) is utilised to properly model all the specific effects. The model is applied to a panel of APEC countries.
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Paper provided by Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne in its series Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series with number
wp2000n05.
Length: 20 pages Date of creation: Mar 2000 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:iae:iaewps:wp2000n05
Contact details of provider: Postal: Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010 Australia Phone: +61 3 8344 2100 Fax: +61 3 8344 2111 Email: Web page: http://www.melbourneinstitute.com/ More information through EDIRC
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
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