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Bilateral Trade Flows, the Linder Hypothesis, and Exchange Risk

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Author Info
Thursby, Jerry G
Thursby, Marie C

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Abstract

Bilateral trade flows are used to examine the Linder hypothesis and the effect of exchange-rate variability in a gra vity-type trade model derived from an underlying demand and supply mo del. A behavioral model is used to justify examining these issues joi ntly. The model performs well empirically using a sample of seventeen countries for the period 1974-82. The authors find overwhelming supp ort for the Linder hypothesis and this version of the gravity model. Moreover, they find strong support for the hypothesis that increased exchange-rate variability affects bilateral trade flows. Copyright 1987 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 69 (1987)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 488-95
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:69:y:1987:i:3:p:488-95

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