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What drives health care expenditure?--Baumol's model of 'unbalanced growth' revisited

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  • Hartwig, Jochen

Abstract

The share of health care expenditure in GDP rises rapidly in virtually all OECD countries, causing increasing concern among politicians and the general public. Yet, economists have to date failed to reach an agreement on what the main determinants of this development are. This paper revisits Baumol's [Baumol, W.J., 1967. Macroeconomics of unbalanced growth: the anatomy of urban crisis. American Economic Review 57 (3), 415-426] model of 'unbalanced growth', showing that the latter offers a ready explanation for the observed inexorable rise in health care expenditure. The main implication of Baumol's model in this context is that health care expenditure is driven by wage increases in excess of productivity growth. This hypothesis is tested empirically using data from a panel of 19 OECD countries. Our tests yield robust evidence in favor of Baumol's theory.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Health Economics.

Volume (Year): 27 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 603-623

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:603-623

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505560

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  1. Diagnosing the Cost Disease
    by Sam Watson in The Academic Health Economists' Blog on 2013-03-13 07:00:58
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