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Sind unsere gesamtwirtschaftlichen Probleme ueberhaupt loesbar?

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  • Jochen Hartwig

Abstract

The paper draws on Baumol's (1967) model of "unbalanced growth" to show that pressing economic problems of mature economies such as declining growth rates of real GDP, an increasing government share in GDP and the "cost explosion" in health care can readily be explained - yet they cannot be finally resolved. Swiss economic data are used to verify that the economic developments Baumol's model predicts are indeed underway. Some policy as well as politico-economic conclusions are drawn from these insights.

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  • Jochen Hartwig, 2005. "Sind unsere gesamtwirtschaftlichen Probleme ueberhaupt loesbar?," KOF Working papers 05-112, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    • Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:05-112
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005104863
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hartwig, Jochen, 2008. "What drives health care expenditure?--Baumol's model of 'unbalanced growth' revisited," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 603-623, May.
    2. Spyros Arvanitis & Heinz Hollenstein, 2016. "Die Internationalisierung von Forschung und Entwicklung: Motive, Strategien und Auswirkungen," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(1), pages 93-101, March.
    3. Pauliina Sandqvist, 2016. "Identifizierung von Ausreissern in eindimensionalen gewichteten Umfragedaten," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(2), pages 45-56, June.
    4. Daniel Kaufmann, 2016. "Die Kosten von Deflation: Eine historische Analyse," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(4), pages 45-54, December.
    5. Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(3), pages 1-108, October.
    6. Florian Chatagny & Marko Köthenbürger & Michael Stimmelmayr, 2016. "Evaluation des effets économiques et budgétaires de la troisième réforme de l’imposition des entreprises (RIE III)," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(3), pages 129-137, October.
    7. Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Preise fangen sich langsam, verhaltener Konjunkturausblick," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(2), pages 1-29, June.
    8. Maria Esther Egg, 2016. "Macht Berufserfahrung den Unterschied aus? Die Bedeutung von Berufserfahrung für einen reibungslosen Übergang in die Berufswelt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(4), pages 31-43, December.
    9. Thomas Bolli & Maria Esther Egg & Ladina Rageth, 2017. "Die Rolle der Berufsbildung zur Verbesserung der Lage auf dem Jugendarbeitsmarkt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(1), pages 89-102, March.
    10. Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(1), pages 1-72, March.
    11. Jochen Hartwig, 2007. "Ist die «Baumol’sche Krankheit» geheilt?," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 1(4), pages 23-31, December.
    12. Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(4), pages 1-27, December.
    13. Richard Senti, 2016. "Transatlantische Handels- und Investitionspartnerschaft zwischen der EU und den USA (TTIP) - Auswirkungen auf die Schweiz," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(1), pages 75-91, March.
    14. Colombier, Carsten, 2012. "Drivers of health care expenditure: Does Baumol's cost disease loom large?," FiFo Discussion Papers - Finanzwissenschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 12-5, University of Cologne, FiFo Institute for Public Economics.
    15. Spyros Arvanitis & Florian Seliger & Andrin Spescha & Tobias Stucki & Martin Wörter, 2017. "Die Innovationsleistung Schweizer Unternehmen im Zeitverlauf," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(1), pages 77-87, March.
    16. Spyros Arvanitis & Florian Seliger & Martin Wörter, 2016. "Patentaktivitäten und Wissens-Spillover in der Schweiz," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(2), pages 33-43, June.
    17. Johanna Kemper, 2016. "Meta-Analyse des Einflusses der Arbeitsschutzgesetzgebung auf das Niveau der Arbeitslosigkeit und Beschäftigung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(3), pages 111-128, October.
    18. Jochen Kurt Hartwig, 2010. "Baumol's Diseases," KOF Working papers 10-250, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    19. Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2017. "Weitere Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(1), pages 1-74, March.

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