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La théorie budgétaire du niveau des prix, un bilan critique

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  • Jérôme Creel

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Henri Sterdyniak

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

La théorie budgétaire du niveau des prix, soit en anglais la Fiscal Theory of the Price Level, (FTPL), a donné lieu à une intense littérature dans les années récentes1 (Leeper [1991], Sims [1994], Woodford [1994, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999 et 2000], Canzoneri et alii [1998], Cochrane [1999, 2000], Christiano et Fitzgerald [2000], et, de façon critique, McCallum [1998] et Buiter [1998, 1999, 2000]). Cette littérature présente plusieurs particularités curieuses. Elle est purement théorique ; elle ne part d’aucun fait empirique observé ; elle n’a aucune application pratique ; elle n’a aucun retentissement dans le débat public de politique économique. Il s’agit d’une pure scholastique puisqu’il s’agit d’étudier la détermination de l’inflation dans une économie sans autorités monétaires actives, à prix parfaitement flexibles (...).

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  • Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 2000. "La théorie budgétaire du niveau des prix, un bilan critique," Sciences Po publications 2000-03, Sciences Po.
    • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5122
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    2. Jérôme Creel & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2003. "Inflation Divergence and Public Deficits In an Monetary Union," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01065062, HAL.
    3. Vigninou GAMMADIGBE & Ismaël ISSIFOU & Sampawende J.-A. TAPSOBA & Daouda SEMBENE, 2018. "Convergence et divergence budgétaire en Afrique : le rôle des Communautés économiques régionales et des Unions économiques et monétaires," Working Papers P217, FERDI.
    4. Hassan Ayoub & Jérôme Creel & Étienne Farvaque, 2008. "Détermination du niveau des prix et finances publiques : le cas du Liban, 1965 – 2005," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 16(3), pages 115-141.
    5. Jérôme Creel, 2001. "Faut-il contraindre la politique budgétaire en Union monétaire ?. Les enseignements d'une maquette simulée," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 77(2), pages 199-249.
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    7. Djelassi, Mouldi & Essid, Lobna, 2012. "Le niveau des prix en Tunisie est-il déterminé par la politique budgétaire?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 88(2), pages 231-256, Juin.
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    9. Jérôme Creel & Paola Monperrus-Veroni & Francesco Saraceno, 2007. "Politique budgétaire discrétionnaire en France. Les effets à court et à long terme," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 58(5), pages 1035-1053.
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