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The effectiveness of index futures hedging in emerging markets during the crisis period of 2008-2010: Evidence from South Africa

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  • Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo
  • Umoetok, Ekerete

Abstract

This paper provides an assessment of the comparative effectiveness of four econometric methods in estimating the optimal hedge ratio in an emerging equity market, particularly the South African equity and futures markets. The paper bases the effectiveness of hedging on volatility reduction and minimisation of the coefficient of variation of hedged returns as well as risk-aversion based utility maximisation. The empirical analysis shows that the single equation method estimated by ordinary least squares is the most effective over daily hedging periods. However, the vector error-correction method and multivariate GARCH methods are most effective over weekly and monthly hedging periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Umoetok, Ekerete, 2015. "The effectiveness of index futures hedging in emerging markets during the crisis period of 2008-2010: Evidence from South Africa," MPRA Paper 62932, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:62932
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Mathias mandla Manguzvane, 2020. "Assessing the extent of contagion of sovereign credit risk among BRICS countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1017-1032.
    3. Samia Nasreen & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "Dynamic Connectedness and Portfolio Diversification during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: Evidence from the Cryptocurrency Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-14, July.
    4. Babu Jose & Nithin Jose, 2023. "Is Cross-Hedging Effective for Mitigating Equity Investment Risks in the Indian Banking Sector?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 189-210, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    emerging markets; optimal hedge ratio; South Africa; index futures hedging; Vector autoregression; Vector error-correction; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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