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What do we really know about exchange rates?

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Author Info
Ronald Mac Donald () (University of Strathclyde, Department of Economics)

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Abstract

This paper seeks to provide a comprehensive overview of the recent literature on the economics of real exchange rates. In particular, the paper attempts to provide answers to the following questions: to what extent are real exchange rates mean reverting and how may the degree of observed mean reversion be explained?; do real exchange rates have a business cycle component and, in particular, are they related to real interest differentials?; how important are real, relative to nominal shocks, in driving real exchange rates?; is the systematic component of the real exchange rate related to factors such as productivity, net foreign asset accumulation, national savings imbalances and terms of trade effects?

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File URL: http://www.oenb.at/de/img/wp28_tcm14-6095.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) in its series Working Papers with number 28.

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Length: 55 pages
Date of creation: 20 Jun 1998
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbwp:28

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Related research
Keywords: Real Exchange Rates; Mean Reversion.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Cochrane, John H, 1988. "How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 893-920, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. T.M. Andersen & N.C. Beier, 1999. "Persistent Terms of Trade Effects of Nominal Shocks," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 31, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Celine Gauthier & David Tessier, 2002. "Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics: Canadian Evidence," Working Papers 02-31, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gabriel Di Bella & Aurelie Martin & Mark Lewis, 2007. "Assessing Competitiveness and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 07/201, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. K. Farrant & G. Peersman, 2005. "Is the exchange rate a shock absorber or a source of shocks? New empirical evidence," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 05/285, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
  5. Vaubel, Roland, . "The Future of the Euro : A Public Choice Perspective," IVS discussion paper series 570, Institut für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik (IVS), University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  6. René Lalonde & Patrick Sabourin, 2003. "Modélisation et prévision du taux de change réel effectif américain," Working Papers 03-3, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ronald Macdonald, 1999. "Asset Market and Balance of Payments Characteristics: An Eclectic Exchange Rate Model for the Dollar, Mark and Yen," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 5-29, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Andersson, Andreas & Österholm, Pär, 2001. "The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate," Working Paper Series 2001:11, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  9. Annika Alexius & Jonny Nilsson, 2000. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence from 15 OECD Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 383-397, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Jerome Stein, 2001. "The Equilibrium Value of the Euro/$ US Exchange Rate: An Evaluation of Research," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  11. Leonardo Villar & Hernán Rincón, . "The Colombian Economy in the nineties: Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Regimes," Borradores de Economia 149, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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