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What Makes Currencies Volatile? An Empirical Investigation

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Author Info
Michael Bleaney
Manuela Francisco

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Abstract

Real effective exchange rate volatility is examined for 90 countries using monthly data from January 1990 to June 2006. Volatility decreases with openness to international trade and per capita GDP, and increases with inflation, particularly under a horizontal peg or band, and with terms-of-trade volatility. The choice of exchange rate regime matters. After controlling for these effects, a free float adds at least 45 % to the standard deviation of the real effective exchange rate, relative to a conventional peg, but most other regimes make little difference. The results are robust to alternative volatility measures and to sample selection bias.

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File URL: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/research/dp/school_dp/dp.08.09.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Nottingham, School of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 08/09.

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Handle: RePEc:not:notecp:08/09

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Postal: School of Economics University of Nottingham University Park Nottingham NG7 2RD
Phone: (44) 0115 951 5620
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Web page: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/
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Related research
Keywords: Exchange rate regimes; inflation; volatility;

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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